جستجوی مقالات مرتبط با کلیدواژه « مدلهای خانواده ARCH- GARCH » در نشریات گروه « برق »

The impact of oil price volatility on the financial markets in Iran Review: The purpose of this study was to evaluate the effect of oil price uncertainty on the financial markets (exchange rates, coin price index and stock prices) using time series data for the period 1384 to 1392. For the modeling of the effects of oil price uncertainty on stock indices, exchange rates and gold prices ARCH and GARCH models to test the effects of oil price uncertainty on the markets, their methods of vector regression (VAR) is used. The estimated results indicate a negative correlation between oil prices and instability in financial markets. The results of analysis of variance showed that the greatest impact on stock index of the exchange rate, uncertainty of oil prices and the inflation and the price of gold. Therefore, we conclude that in the next period will be most affected by the exchange rate on stock indices, stock price index, inflation and the price of gold coins.