Surveying the structure of employment using analytical economic models (Case study: Sistan and Baluchistan province of Iran)

The Sistan and Baluchestan region of Iran has a high rate of unemployment despite having many capabilities in fisheries, mining, tourism and etc. that its high rate of population increase, weather problems, lack of security and high distance from the capital are some of the reasons. The purpose of this article is surveying employment trend in Sistan and Baluchestan province of Iran. So the development gap between the province and whole country will be surveyed using regional economic models and analyzing the results. The method of this study is descriptive-analytical and some economic models are used including shift-share, economic base, mix and share analysis, structure change index, and annual statistics report of years 1996, 2006 and 2011. The results show that in Sistan and Baluchestan, in year 2001 the agriculture and industry part and in 2006, the industry and service part has been the economic bases. In the region, in 1996-2006 period, sections including agriculture, housing, construction and social services has been loser sections, and in the 2006-2011 period, sections including whole sales, retails, wholesales, transportation, warehousing and communications, brokers, education, health and social services, electricity, gas and water provision, has been losers and medley losers. The regional employment increase in the services section has been less than the national average and the increase in industry section was very low. In the 2006-2011 period, the increase in the agriculture section was considerably more than the national average. In the first period, the economic structure of Sistan and Baluchestan changed and has become more industrial.