Explains perferable scenario of areal integrated development and optimal strategies for its implementation (Case Study: Minoodasht township)

Present research explains the perferable scenario of areal integrated development and optimal strategies for its implementation in Minoodasht township. First step in this research was identifed and analyzed the effective factors in areal integrated development with emphasis on rural-urban linkages. In this regard used the Delphi method and cross-effects matrix(Mic-Mac software). In this way, 28 factors were identified as key factors. The second step is to explain the plausible and probable future and build the scenario. At this stage, plausible futures were firstly determined on the basis of key drivers. Within these futures, probabilistic futures were identified, and then the likelihood of realization of each of these believable situations was as follows in the form of a five-choice Likert spectrum (very much Low to very high). Accordingly, the situation with their score above the average (x = 3) was identified as probable future, which was the basis for mapping the desired scenario. Based on the findings of this section, the focus is on the development of tourism activities. To select the best strategies used SWOT model and hierarchical analysis model. The findings of this section also show that aggressive strategies are the most effective strategy. The hierarchical analysis model also showed that the top strategy among the aggressive strategies presented is based on the combination and development types of tourism as a tourist package, introducing and presenting attractions, facilities, programs, etc., through the capacity of cyberspace.