The Effect of Transit of Goods on Non-Oil Exports of Iran: Cointegration Approach

Islamic Republic of Iran is among countries that in terms of locating in the very appropriate geographical location has good transit benefits and by the expansion of transport network and efficient communication can use the benefits properly in order to increase exchange earnings and improve its strategic position in the region. Due to the special geographical position of Iran in the region and being in the path of goods transfer between Central Asia and open seas, developing the transportation network to provide transit services is the commercial valuable opportunities that have been provided to the economy of Iran. Considering the material presented and the current economic conditions and existing sanctions or even stages of after sanctions (Barjam), the present study seeks to investigate the role of goods transit in its non-oil exports. This method is an applied research objectively and in terms of research method is descriptive analytical. To evaluate the data and estimating designed model, the data of 1978-2014 is used and given the role of variables of transit, four models were evaluated. By investigating four estimation model based on transit, only the first model that includes variable of transit's value added in terms of theory and statistical significance was accepted.