Explaining integrated urban management in urban welfare and security (Case study: Tabriz metropolis)

Cities as the second post-agricultural revolution have overshadowed human life and have been cited as centers of power and wealth production. But at the same time, they face challenges despite hundreds of years of urban history, they still face problems in urban management. Therefore, the present study has tried to explain the integrated urban management as a new approach in security and social welfare on the horizon of 1410 Tabriz metropolis. For this purpose, 43 indicators have been extracted in three dimensions (integrated management, security and welfare) that spss software has been used to measure the correlation coefficient between the components. Micmac software is used to measure the type of relationship between the variables, and Wizard scenario software is used to explain possible scenarios on the 1410 horizon. Research has shown that There was a significant relationship between the components of management on security and social welfare sig = 0.000So that the correlation coefficient of management on security was r = 0.80 and welfare r = 0.58. Also, the results of the analysis of indicators in the environment of futuristic software have shown 10 key factors resulting from Mick Mac software. Also, the possible situations of integrated management on security and welfare have shown 3 strong scenarios, 132 weak scenarios and 21 possible scenarios. Among the possible scenarios, the optimal situation with 80 frequency states equal to a coefficient of 38% has been the most probable scenario for Tabriz metropolis.