Investigating and measuring the factors affecting the efficiency indicators of technical analysis in the Iranian stock market;Generalized Torque Model (GMM) approach
Undoubtedly, profit forecasting, which may be done technically or fundamentally, will be applicable when it is highly efficient. The required data were collected using the sampling method for 323 companies listed on the Tehran Stock Exchange on a monthly basis during the period 2013-2019. In addition, static software and dynamic panel data model (GMM) were used to analyze the data. The results showed that company size and corporate governance indicators did not have a significant effect on technical analysis performance indicators. In addition, financial leverage does not have a significant effect on RSI and MACD and has a significant inverse effect on MA1 and MA2. On the other hand, return on assets has a significant inverse effect on RSI and has a significant positive effect on MA1, MA2 and MACD. Also, recession and economic prosperity do not have a significant effect on RSI and MACD and have a significant inverse effect on MA1 and MA2. In addition, inflation fluctuations, exchange rate fluctuations and systemic risk have a significant positive effect on RSI and have a significant inverse effect on MA1, MA2 and MACD. Then, the accuracy of predicting the performance indicators of technical analysis in the form of three scenarios was assessed. The results showed that the accuracy of predicting the performance indicators of technical analysis in the Iranian stock market is appropriate for the studied scenarios.
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