Sociological explanation of the influence of important economic indicators on robbery

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Article Type:
Research/Original Article (دارای رتبه معتبر)
Abstract:
Background and Aim

This paper attempts to show the relation of fluctuations in macroeconomic indicators and robbery based on formal announcement of the country, and also evaluates the influences of relating independent variables.

Research Methodology

The present research is applied in terms of purpose functional, in terms of implementation method, quantitative analysis which has been used longitudinal-comparative approach and analysis have been performed in two levels of descriptive and explanatory. Theoretical model of research and secondary analysis of data related to the I.R of Iran Statistics Center regarding robbery has been experimented as a dependent variable and macro and important economic indicators (unemployment, inflation and economic growth) as independent variables of research in a period of 7 years (from 2009 to 2015).

Findings

Based on the research findings, the correlation coefficient between robbery and variables (inflation rate, unemployment rate and economic growth) is evaluated 0.757. The ratio of the robbery variance which determined by aforementioned variables is equal to 0.573, and according to significance level, it is said that independent variables are able to explain some of the changes of the robbery variable.

Conclusion

it can be concluded that the independent variables are effective factors on robbery, namely the effect of variables (inflation and unemployment) on robbery are directly and the relationship between economic growth and robbery has been reversed. It is suggested that policymakers try to find the origins of increasing robbery in order to reduce robbery-related crimes.

Language:
Persian
Published:
Intelligence and criminal research journal, Volume:16 Issue: 1, 2021
Pages:
111 to 131
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