The Impact of Climate Change on Technical and Economic Development of Iran's Maritime Transport (Case Study of Imam Khomeini Port)

Surface temperature, evaporation and wind are the three main factors in water circulation in the Persian Gulf. This study was conducted to investigate the effect of climate change in the region on the growth and technical and economic development of Iranian maritime transport with a case study of Imam Khomeini port. For this purpose, monthly data from rainfall, temperature, wind and the amount of unloading and loading of oil and non-oil products were collected for 2008. The rate of change in each of the loading and unloading parameters during the months of the year and the rate of difference between loading and unloading were assessed by applying meteorological factors using the T-test. Finally, using multivariate linear regression, the relationships between each variable were determined by the amount of loads and unloads. According to the results of this study, the amount of precipitation in this port has the lowest rate and its effect on all loading and unloading operations is not significant. However, the effect of wind is negative for most loads, and the amount of this effect on the discharge of non-oil materials is very significant. Also, the difference between unloading and loading of non-oil materials is high, so that the amount of unloading of these materials compared to loading them in the same conditions is about 4 times, and this indicates the low export of non-oil materials. However, the amount of oil materials exports is much higher than its imports.