Structural Analysis of the Position of Future Actors of the Global Political Economy with a Focus on the European Union in the 2050 Perspective; By Mactor

The world is currently witnessing an economic transition from great western powers to the emerging markets. New crises, particularly Covid 19, have challenged the massive progress and hegemony of the West centered on the United States and the European Union. While at the beginning of the millennium, the movement of the European Union towards economic and political union was considered an irresistible and irreversible process that it was placed in a more complicated situation with the outbreak of Covid-19 and the aggravation of other existing crises. In this article, these questions have been raised that in the perspective of 2050, which countries are the most important actors of the global political economy? And secondly, what is the position of the European Union among other actors of the global political economy? In other words, the main goal of this study is to identify the most important competitors of the Union in the perspective of 2050 by measuring the weight of other actors in the global political economy and to determine the position of the Union among these actors using software analysis. The present study tries to answer the two mentioned questions by holding an expert panel, and the Mactor structural analysis method (two methods of future research) and using the latest available sources. This study is well organized in such a way that first, a review was made on the theoretical framework of the paper, which is institutionalism, and then the most important actors of the future of the global political economy were examined. In the following, the analysis of the research data was done using Mactor software (one of the conventional methods in the la prospective school) and finally, a summary was presented.