نشریه امنیت ملی
پیاپی 50 (زمستان 1402)

The term "transitional order" means a period that will result in the emergence of a new order that will replace the current western-oriented order. Thereforetoday talkingabout the thesis of changing the world order is not so vain and exaggerated, and therefore many thinkers have focused on how this future order will occur.The period, or the transitional order, means the system that will lead to the alternative (future) order.It includes the rise and fall of certain elements that global analysts consider the weakening of the West and the rise of the East-oriented order to be two sides of the coin of this order.Based on this principlethis article tries to answer the question that what are the most important axes and symbols underlying the transfer of order in the intellectual system of Ayatollah Khamenei? The hypothesis that has been put to the test is that the attitude and future vision of the leader of the revolution indicates the change of the current order in the two dimensions of axes - the countries creating the new order - and symbols - elements arising from the potential of the axes creating the new order. Using regional Fortresses Alex Bellamy and based on the qualitative content analysis method, the findings of the research showed that the intellectual system of Ayatollah Khamenei shows manifestations such as the decline of hegemony, geopolitical change and the strengthening of the axis of resistance within the framework of the Russia-China alliance with Iran as the circuits of the transitional order.

This study aims to provide an appropriate strategy for cyberspace management with a political participation approach using the SWOT technique. The research method was mixed and exploratory (qualitative-quantitative) that in the qualitative part, the phenomenological method and in the quantitative part, the descriptive-survey method was used. The statistical population of the qualitative section includes all political science and cyberspace experts in Tabriz and purposeful sampling method was used to select the sample. The sample size of 64 people was a semi-structured interview data collection tool and in the analysis of qualitative information, open coding, axial coding and selective coding were used manually. The statistical population of the quantitative section included 7000 experts and executive and political actors and cyberspace specialists of Tabriz in 1400, based on Morgan's table, 364 people were selected by purposive sampling method. Quantitative data collection tools included researcher-made questionnaires of 158 to assess SWOT. Descriptive and inferential statistics with SPSS software were used to analyze quantitative data. The results showed that there are 51 strengths, 34 weaknesses, 43 opportunities and 22 threats in the field of cyberspace with a political participation approach. Based on these strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats, four strategies including conservative, offensive, defensive and competitive strategies for managing cyberspace with a political participation approach are defined; The results of swot matrix analysis showed that aggressive strategy and competitive strategy are the best strategies for managing cyberspace with a political participation approach.

Until the victory of the Islamic Revolution, West Azarbaijan province has always faced numerous political and security challenges due to its ethnic, religious, geographical, social, economic diversity and the existence of separatist thoughts, as well as the corruption and weakness of the central governments throughout history. These factors have caused the backwardness and weakness of development in its various dimensions. Examining the statistics and main economic, social, cultural, political, etc. indicators of this province on a national scale; It is a proof that the face of security and underdevelopment is the fact that the province of West AzarbaijanIt is grappling with the challenges and issues related to it.In this research, with the exploratory mixed method, the results obtained from qualitative, documentary and library studies in accordance with the results obtained from interviews with elites and questionnaire data, show that the main factors and priority sub-factors effective on the stable security of the borders West Azarbaijan province; Without the integration of the functions by the connecting factors, each of them separately, one-dimensional and separately cannot lead to the stability of security, but with the special work of the connecting factors; Their partial functions are combined and aligned and produce the cohesive and desirable result of "sustainable security".

At a time when cyber operations have increased significantly, cyber deterrence can be considered as one of the effective factors in improving national security and countering cyber attacks. In this regard, resorting to the standards of international law and the rules and regulations governing armed conflicts can be considered as an effective factor in dissuading the attacker from carrying out any hostile cyber operations. In this study, the researcher aimed to present the model of cyber deterrence (dimensions, components and indicators) from the point of view of international law rules through a mixed research method, first collected and studied international documents related to the issue of deterrence, and using MaxQuda qualitative analysis software and thematic analysis method, he proceeded to code and categorize important concepts and propositions in order to obtain the elements influencing the model of cyber deterrence through inductive reasoning. Then the researcher was able to calculate the dimensions, components and indicators of the cyber deterrence model by using SmartPLS and partial least squares software, and further by referring to the experts in this field, he obtained the verifiability of the impact of these elements on the model and proved the overall fit of the model (comprehensiveness). The results of the research show that from the point of view of international law, the model of cyber deterrence consists of three dimensions: identification , morning and defense and four components (capability, credibility, stability, and communication) and relevant indicators that are effective on cyber deterrence.

Turkey's construction of dams on the Tigris and Euphrates rivers has intensified the process of environmental degradation in large parts of the Middle East, especially Iraq and Syria.The full operation of the Ilisu Dam will further reduce the inflow of stagnant water from the Tigris, Euphrates and Arvand to the country and destroy the environment in the wider Middle East. Environmental damage due to the spread of dust emissions in large areas of Iran, especially in the west and southwest of the country is a serious threat to Iran's national security. This research is based on descriptive-analytical method and seeks to answer the question: What effects does the construction of the Turkish dam on the Tigris and Euphrates rivers have on Iran's national security? The research findings indicate that the problems imposed on Iraq due to having a long border and common interests in different dimensions, have similar and wide-ranging effects on Iran's national security. It is necessary for Iran and Iraq to adopt the same position towards Turkey due to having large-scale barriers, attracting the attention of other interested countries, and to persuade this country to respect the water rights of the affected countries on the manner and amount of use of the Tigris and Euphrates rivers. Turkey has taken maximum advantage of these rivers in the absence of the collective will of the beneficiary countries.

Crimes related to corruption in Iran's legal system are only directed at the public sector and are not criminalized in the private sector, which has a great role in their legal security in the international system. Accordingly, in this research, the necessity of criminalizing corruption in the private sector with emphasis on its role on legal security in the international system is presented as a goal.This research was done in a descriptive-analytical way and the required information was collected using the library method and the information was categorized and analyzed.As a result of the research, it can be said that criminalization, as an important issue in criminal law and providing legal security in the international system, is the result of certain justifications. Legal causes such as important factors of corruption in the private sector, and the against it requires the development of the realm of criminal law in this area. Examples justifying the necessity of criminalizing corruption in the private sector play an important role in providing legal security in the international system (such as the stability of the legal system and ensuring permanent protection of the rights and freedoms of citizens).

Islamic Awakening is the continuity of “Prophecy/Imamate" and their emergence as a civilization. The research method is "qualitative" based on "descriptive-analytical" data. Objective is applicative and developmental. Data collection was done with library/field methods. SWOT was used for desired strategy. Data analysis was performed via mean-rank method using Friedman test with SPSS and the validity of the research was measured by Cronbach's alpha. The research findings are the result of interviews/questionnaire by 57 Islamic awakening experts: "Karbala paradigm/Ashura culture", "Localization of the Islamic model for the Resistance, the Islamic World and The Oppressed", "Development of technical and infrastructural capacity for Islamic Internet”, “Staffing of local leaders", "Creating unity for Palestinian", "Developing social interactions of the Resistance Front with Muslims/Oppressed", "Correcting the eclectic, extremist and sectarian approaches of Shiites/Sunnis", "Strengthening Muslim world against Infidelity”, "Organizing Scientific Movements in the Islamic World", "Confronting the Cultural NATO/International Zionism in Engineering of Muslim Beliefs", "Exposing, Intelligence Influence of the US, UK and the Zionist Regime over Islamic countries” ; are among the desired strategies within the framework of "Resistance Theory "; and They rely on interaction with" Muslims and The Oppressed”. Keywords: Islamic Revolution, Islamic Awakening, The Oppressed, Theory of Resistance, Strategy.

Nowadays, the interactions and interdependencies between infrastructures on a regional scale, along with the many benefits of providing the services needed by a society, make the issue of security and protection even more difficult. Therefore, understanding the interactions of infrastructure networks and the complex relationships between infrastructure systems in order to prevent cascade failures and widespread regional crises is increasingly felt. In this regard, with using DANP model, the present study has been carried out to measure the infrastructural interactions in Yazd province as one of the important provinces in strategic depth of Iran. The results of this study show that the infrastructure of the province's energy sector, due to its nature and function in the community, has both greater interactions and greater risk, so that with hard, semi-hard and soft threats, it has the first degree, while the provincial communications network infrastructure has the highest degree of risk against the hard and semi-hard threats, with the degree of risk being the second with the soft threats. In support centers infrastructures, they are also at risk of hard, semi-hard and soft threats.