سید سعید دانشی

According to estimates, the total expected capacity of methanol production in the following 10-years period including plants with the final product of methanol and plants that use methanol as a intermediate product will be about 40.292 million tons. The majority of Iran's methanol export market is relatively exclusively exported to China. considering the lack of diversity in Iran's methanol export goals, there will be a serious market risk for Iran's methanol and this issue practically weakens the economy of methanol projects in terms of production level and downward price competition. In this applied research, in order to provide a solution for this challenge, the solution for changing the use of methanol and converting it to gasoline during the MTG process. Such an approach overshadows the challenge of gasoline imbalance in the country, which will become more visible in the coming years and in a way, it is considered a dual solution to solve the problems of these two areas. The results suggest that considering the current methanol prices and product portfolio, this project does not have suitable economic results.The economic sensitivity analysis shows that in the increasing trends of oil prices, the economy of this project has improved.

Given the limited financial resources for the implementation of micro and macro projects، as well as the available liquidity that can be the source of adverse economic effects، the accumulation of public capital and the injection of these resources into the real sector of the economy can be very helpful. Therefore، in this research، in order to make the process of providing resources more efficient and taking in to account the capital market capacities as a platform for financing the production and consolidation of public capital، the investors’ behavior and the structure of the capital market was analyzed according to principles,regulations and rules; Because understanding the behavior of brokers can help policymakers and executives to improve or reform the existing structure. Accordingly، by explaining the reality of economic action of individuals from the perspective of behavioral economics، an attempt has been made to examine the appropriate structural model. Considering behavioral biases as an index of deviation from the rational man subject of conventional economics، the relationship between the five biases of eventism، loss avoidance، overconfidence، familiarity and self-documentation with the decisions of capital market brokers was examined through structural equation method and lisrel software.The results suggest a significant and positive relationship between behavioral biases as independent variables and investors' behavior as a dependent variable and indicate that brokers are not necessarily rational under the influence of these biases. In the second part of the study، by recognizing the behavior of the broker and considering the socio-economic actions of the Iranian people influenced by Islamic teachings on one hand، and the rich Islamic economic and financial literature on the other hand, Islamic capital market as a structure appropriate to the economic actions of Iranians based on a panel of experts and data-based theorizing method has been studied and proposed.