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فهرست مطالب emad helalat

  • حمید حکیم، عماد هلالات*
    قدرت نرم ابزاری است که کشورهای مختلف با توجه به توانایی تاثیرگذاری بر آحاد یک جامعه در حوزه روابط بین‎الملل به کار می‎گیرند. دولت چین با استفاده از ابزارهای مختلف و با توجه به نگاه منطقه گرایی در سیاست خارجی خود، قدرت نرم را برای نفوذ هرچه بیشتر در کشورهای هدف مورداستفاده قرار می‎دهد. منطقه آسیای مرکزی از دیرباز دارای روابط فرهنگی اجتماعی و اقتصادی با چین بوده است. قوم‎های مختلفی که در منطقه آسیای مرکزی وجود دارند و همسایگی بلافصل با این منطقه، ظرفیت و فرصت مناسبی برای چین است که با توجه به صبغه عملکردی و  بازار تجاری بکر در این منطقه نفوذ خود را در آسیای مرکزی گسترش دهد. برای حصول این منظور، دولت چین توجهی ویژه به قدرت نرم داشته و ابزارهای مختلفی را برای توسعه قدرت نرم خود در این منطقه به کار گرفته است که اصلی ترین طرح آن جاده ابریشم جدید یا همان طرح «یک کمربند-یک راه» است که هزینه ‎های زیادی را برای این طرح صرف کرده است؛ بااین وجود، با چالش‎های بزرگی روبرو است.  این پژوهش در چارچوب نظریه قدرت نرم  و با روش توصیفی -تحلیلی  به دنبال پاسخ‎گویی به این سوال است که دولت چین چگونه از قدرت نرم به عنوان ابزاری در جهت توسعه طلبی خود در آسیای مرکزی استفاده می ‎کند؟ در این مقاله استدلال می‎شود که دولت چین با استفاده از ابزارهای قدرت نرم خود در ابعاد فرهنگی، سیاسی و اقتصادی،کشورهای منطقه آسیای مرکزی را تحت تاثیر قرار می‎دهد که البته در این مسیر با چالش‎هایی از جمله قدرت‎ های منطقه ای و فرا منطقه ای چون روسیه، امریکا و هند، بنیادگرایی اسلامی، و عدم جذابیت فرهنگی روبرو است که بر قدرت نرم آن تاثیر منفی دارند.
    کلید واژگان: قدرت نرم, چین, آسیای مرکزی, فرهنگ, اقتصاد}
    Hamid Hakim, Emad Helalat *
    Soft power is a tool utilized by different actors in the evolving international system based on their capabilities. In this transformed international system, soft power becomes a vital element in increasing influence over international outcomes, as it makes it more difficult to coerce countries and non-state actors through traditional hard power tools that mean threats and force.The People's Republic of China is one of the influential actors in the realm of international relations. Its large economy, ranking second in the world, has enabled the country to utilize its economic power as a tool to advance its goals. According to most experts in the field of economics and international relations, China is projected to surpass the United States as the world's leading economy by 2030 and establish itself as a dominant economic power on the international stage, although Joseph Nye disputes this notion in his book "The Intelligent Power."Over the past few decades, China's foreign policy has pursued different dimensions and forms of power in the international arena, in line with its domestic environment and international circumstances. China's bitter historical experience in dealing with Western powers and enduring the era of humiliation, as well as the ideological components stemming from the Communist revolution, shaped its foreign policy during Mao's era with a strong hardware-oriented approach to power and a focus on win-lose dynamics. With the emergence of Deng Xiaoping, China's foreign policy outlook shifted towards a process of power acquisition and security enhancement. Since the 1990s, significant changes have occurred in China's domestic and international conditions, as the emphasis solely on one dimension of power made the country vulnerable to long-term interests. It was in the mid-1990s that soft power gained a special position in China's foreign policy. Jiang Zemin believed that due to various internal and international reasons, China had to incorporate new dimensions of power, including soft power, into its agenda to change its position and ensure security.Among the influential regions targeted by China, which shares over 1,800 kilometers of border with it, is Central Asia. This geographical proximity has fostered economic, political, and even cultural links between China and the countries of this region. The historical Silk Road, which originated in China and extended through Central Asia and Iran towards Europe, has strengthened these connections. In this regard, Chinese elites also strive to showcase their soft power on the global stage and in the direction of defeating enemies by utilizing the country's traditional culture, values, and teachings, combined with modern culture.The main objective of this research is to highlight China's development-oriented policies in the Central Asian region. The significance of this research lies in the fact that Central Asia is considered part of Iran's cultural sphere, and Iranian culture and art have a significant presence in this region. This research adopts a descriptive-analytical approach to answer the question of how the Chinese government employs soft power as a tool for its development ambitions in Central Asia. The article argues that by utilizing its soft power tools in cultural, political, and economic dimensions, the Chinese government influences the countries of the Central Asian region. However, it also faces challenges that hurt its soft power. This research examines the soft power of China, its capacities, tools, and challenges by addressing the concept of soft power and the Chinese government's utilization of it in Central Asia.Based on this, the research is structured into three main sections. The first section provides an overview and theoretical framework of the research. The second section explores China's soft power in Central Asia, including the existing tools and capacities of the Chinese government in this domain. The third section discusses the challenges faced by the Chinese government in leveraging its soft power.Considering that the main question of the research was how the Chinese government uses soft power as a tool for its expansionist ambitions in Central Asia, it is argued in this research that the Chinese government influences the countries of Central Asia through its soft power tools in cultural, political, and economic dimensions. However, it faces challenges such as the presence of regional and extra-regional powers (such as the United States, Russia, and India), Islamic fundamentalism, and cultural unattractiveness, which hurt its soft power. It can be concluded that China has been able to introduce itself as an influential variable in this region through its economic relations with Central Asian countries, both through the Shanghai Cooperation Organization and other frameworks. China has attempted to exert its influence on the development and progress of these countries by tying their economies to their own, creating consumer and transit markets, and utilizing the energy resources available in these countries. The Chinese government has placed economic tools as the foundation of its global and regional movements, particularly in Central Asia. In the cultural sphere, despite scholarships for students and the promotion of the Chinese language and Confucian culture, different perspectives, especially in neighboring countries, indicate that Russia and the United States have a relatively more desirable position in terms of China's soft power and influence. In the political sphere, there is authoritarianism in Central Asian countries, similar to China, but civil society and the general public in Central Asia do not find China's soft power politically appealing and prefer the liberal democracy model of the United States. Despite China's efforts to achieve its goals through initiatives such as the Shanghai Cooperation Organization and the Belt and Road Initiative, it faces challenges that have affected these initiatives. Russia considers Central Asia its domain and China's presence and influence in this region pass through Russia's channel. The United States identifies China as the biggest threat to its national security and seeks to have an influential presence in the region as an international player. Islamic fundamentalism (terrorism) is another challenge for China. The presence of Chinese semi-military forces in Syria in the form of the East Turkestan Islamic Movement and their return to Central Asia and China, creating security crises, makes Central Asian countries a potential center of terrorism in the future. Overall, it can be stated that despite all the progress China has made in this region, the existence of these challenges has affected China's soft power.
    Keywords: Soft Power, China, Central Asia, Culture, Economy}
  • عماد هلالات*، حمید حکیم

    جنگ روسیه و اوکراین (بحران اوکراین) از مهم ترین بحران های قرن جدید است که کشورهای مختلف سیاست خارجی متفاوتی را در قبال این بحران داشته اند. ایران و رژیم اسراییل، به عنوان دو بازیگر تاثیرگذار در منطقه خاورمیانه و نظام بین الملل، سیاست خارجی متفاوتی را در قبال این بحران به کار گرفته اند. این پژوهش با استفاده از روش مقایسه ای و در قالب چارچوب نظری واقع گرایی، در پی پاسخ به این سوال است که ایران و اسراییل به عنوان دو قدرت منطقه ای خاورمیانه سیاست خود را در قبال بحران اوکراین چگونه تنظیم کرده اند؟ این مقاله استدلال می کند که ایران به عنوان یک بازیگر چالشگر نظام بین الملل، بحران اوکراین را بحرانی در راستای تغییرات در نظام بین الملل و شکل گیری یک نظام بین الملل جدید می بیند که موجب تحدید قدرت، قدرت های بزرگ از جمله ناتو و آمریکا و روسیه می شود. از سوی دیگر، اسراییل  به دنبال حداقل حفظ ساختار موجود و تغییرنکردن موازنه قدرت است و از آن حمایت می کند، هرچند شاید شکست روسیه برای اسراییل مطلوب باشد. براین اساس ایران و اسراییل در حوزه های سیاسی، نظامی و امنیتی، انرژی و تجاری سیاست متفاوتی را در قبال بحران اتخاذ کرده اند.

    کلید واژگان: ایران, اسرائیل, اوکراین, روسیه, واقع گرایی}
    Emad Helalat, *, Hamid Hakim

    The Ukraine crisis is one of the historical turning points in the transition period of international relations, which can cause many changes in the international arena due to the presence of many actors in this crisis. This crisis is referred to as the beginning of a new order or the end of a transition period. Although the Ukraine crisis has occurred in Europe, it has involved many regions and actors. One of the most influential regions in the Ukraine crisis is the Middle East. Among the countries of the Middle East region, Iran and Israel, as two strategic actors, have displayed different levels of involvement in this crisis. Iran evaluates the crisis in Ukraine in line with the current changes in the international system, changes that may ultimately lead to alterations in the existing international order and the limitation of major powers, including European countries and the United States in the form of NATO, as well as Russia. Therefore, it is necessary for Iran to play a role in this crisis in line with its national interests and to create conditions of neither war nor peace in Ukraine, or at the very least, ensure that Russia does not lose the war. Iran can play the role of an influential power alongside Russia against NATO, utilizing its strategic and military advantages.In contrast to the Islamic Republic of Iran, Israel has a completely different approach to the Ukraine crisis and evaluates it in contrary with its own interests. Israel seeks to maintain the current international order and the balance of power within this structure. Israel looks for an actor within the framework of the current international system and assesses the changes in this structure, especially in relation to the interests of the Islamic Republic of Iran. Israel aims to preserve the status quo. Consequently, Israel seeks to end the war between Russia and Ukraine and believes that the costs incurred in this war should be borne by Iran. Therefore, Iran and Israel have adopted different foreign policies regarding the Ukraine crisis, taking into account political, security-military, and energy variables.This research employs the comparative method and is framed within the realism theory to answer the question of how Iran and Israel have adjusted their foreign policies in relation to the Ukraine crisis. This article argues that Iran, as an actor challenging the international system, views the crisis in Ukraine as a reflection of changes within the international system and the formation of a new international order, which may limit the power of great powers such as NATO-USA and Russia. On the other hand, Israel seeks to at least maintain the existing structure and the balance of power, supporting it, though the defeat of Russia may be favorable for Israel. Consequently, Iran and Israel have pursued different policies in the areas of politics, military-security, energy, and commerce in relation to the crisis. The level of involvement of Iran and Israel, as influential actors in the international system and the Middle East, as well as their relationships with other relevant actors in the Ukraine crisis, are the main reasons why these two governments have been chosen for investigation in the context of the Ukraine crisis. Therefore, the research is organized in such a way that while examining the crisis in Ukraine, it describes and analyzes the policies of Iran and Israel regarding the war between Russia and Ukraine within three main components.For Iran, the worst-case scenario would be the defeat of Russia, as it could lead to increased pressure, sanctions, and security measures against Iran. Iran aims to prevent Russia's defeat in the war, but it will play a minimal role in favor of Russia's victory. Iran also sees the crisis in Ukraine as an opportunity to expand its comprehensive relations with Russia, which can meet Iran's needs in various fields, particularly in the military and strategic domains. Furthermore, from a national security standpoint, regardless of the geographic distance between the crisis and the Middle East, a conflict between major powers outside the Middle East region is considered favorable for Iran, as it allows Iran to maximize its own interests. In recent years, proxy wars and conventional conflicts have posed a threat to Iran's national security. Therefore, both in terms of security and its level of involvement, the Ukraine crisis will have an impact on Iran.On the other hand, Israel does not view the crisis in Ukraine in line with its own policies and seeks to end the war and establish a ceasefire. The parties involved in the conflict are important to Israel. In terms of security and geopolitics, Israel does not want to escalate tensions with Russia due to the expanding relations between Russia and Iran, as well as Russia's presence in the Middle East, particularly in Syria. This presence directly and indirectly affects Israel's national security due to Iran and its allies in Syria. For Israel, the weakening of NATO and Russia is the worst possible scenario because it would reduce the pressure on Iran and grant Iran more freedom of action in Syria. The best scenario for Israel is the end of the war and the maintenance of the balance of power. In line with this, Israel seeks to maintain its relations with Russia without any tensions. Israel has provided diplomatic support to Ukraine, framing its support as purely humanitarian and informational. However, under pressure from NATO and the United States, and considering the possibility of Iran's increased involvement in the Ukraine crisis, Israel may change its policy, although such a change seems unlikely. Additionally, Israel is dissatisfied that the current costs of the war are being incurred in Ukraine instead of Iran. Overall, Israel adopts a realist policy aimed at maintaining the status quo, while Iran's policy can be seen as driven by the desire to demonstrate prestige.

    Keywords: Comparative, Iran, Israel, Ukraine Crisis}
  • امیررضا مقومی*، عماد هلالات، مهدی جاودانی مقدم

    یکی از راهبردهای رژیم صهیونیستی در خاورمیانه، بالکانیزه کردن این منطقه است. رژیم صهیونیستی که با چالش ها و معضلات امنیتی متعددی روبه رو است، بهترین اقدام برای فایق آمدن بر این مشکلات و تداوم بقا در محیط منطقه ای خاورمیانه را تضعیف کشورهای موجود در غرب آسیا و بر همین اساس، بالکانیزه کردن این منطقه می داند. پژوهش حاضر با روش توصیفی- تحلیلی در پی پاسخ به این سوال است که اهمیت و جایگاه کردهای عراق در سیاست بالکانیزاسیون خاورمیانه توسط رژیم صهیونیستی چیست؟ یافته های تحقیق نشان می دهد که بالکانیزه کردن خاورمیانه یکی از سیاست های اصلی رژیم صهیونیستی در قالب دکترین های مختلف آن به ویژه دکترین پیرامونی می باشد که بارقه های آن را می توان در سرتاسر اقلیت های قومی و مذهبی منطقه مشاهده کرد. در این میان با توجه به پراکندگی کردها در قلب خاورمیانه و در چهار کشور مهم منطقه و بهره مندی از مزیت های ژیوپلیتیکی متعدد، این گروه بهترین گزینه برای سیاست بالکانیزه کردن خاورمیانه از سوی رژیم صهیونیستی به حساب می آید. در این بین، کردهای عراق هم به عنوان ستون فقرات کردهای منطقه به سبب ویژگی های منحصر به فردی مانند هم مرز بودن با جمهوری اسلامی ایران و دارا بودن منابع غنی نفت، مورد توجه ویژه رژیم صهیونیستی قرار گرفته است. از همین رو رژیم صهیونیستی همواره با هدف تغییر مرزهای ژیوپلیتیکی خاورمیانه و تضعیف کشورهای حاضر در آن، از استقلال طلبی کردها به ویژه کردهای عراق حمایت نموده است.

    کلید واژگان: بالکانیزه کردن, خاورمیانه, رژیم صهیونیستی, کردها, عراق}
    Amirreza Moghavemi *, Emad Helalat, Mahdi Javdani Moqaddam

    The Zionist regime, which is facing many challenges and security issues, considers the best measure to overcome these problems and continue to survive in the Middle East regional environment to weaken the existing countries in West Asia and, accordingly, to balkanize this region.The research, seeks to answer the question, what is the importance and position of Iraqi Kurds in the policy of balkanization of the Middle East by the Zionist regime? The findings of the research show that balkanization of the Middle East is one of the main policies of the Zionist regime in the form of its various doctrines, especially the periphery doctrine, the sparks of which can be seen throughout the ethnic and religious minorities of the region. In the meantime, considering the dispersion of Kurds in the heart of the Middle East and in four important countries of the region and benefiting from numerous geopolitical advantages, this group is considered the best option for the policy of balkanizing the Middle East by the Zionist regime. In the meantime, the Kurds of Iraq, as the backbone of the Kurds in the region, have received special attention from the Zionist regime due to their unique features such as bordering the Islamic Republic of Iran and having rich oil resources. Therefore, the Zionist regime has always supported the independence of the Kurds, especially the Kurds of Iraq, with the aim of changing the geopolitical borders of the Middle East and weakening the countries present in it.

    Keywords: Balkanization, Middle East, Zionist regime, Kurds, Iraq}
  • پژمان نوروزی، عماد هلالات، امیررضا مقومی

    منازعات و بسیاری از کنش های دولت ها را می توان با امنیت هستی شناختی تحلیل کرد. گاهی دولت ها دست به کنش هایی می زنند که امنیت فیزیکی و ریالیستی آن ها را به خطر می اندازد. اما دولت ها از طریق اتخاذ کنش های شرافتی به مقابله شرم برمی خیزند. پرسش اصلی پژوهش حاضر این است که چگونه امنیت هستی شناختی باعث ورود روسیه به جنگ با اوکراین شد؟ در پاسخ، این فرضیه مطرح شده است که نادیده گرفتن مرزهای امنیت وجودی روسیه توسط غرب و در قالب ناتو، روسیه را مجبور کرد برای حفظ و تقویت و یادآوری مرزهای امنیت وجودی خود به غرب، با اوکراین وارد درگیری نظامی گسترده شود. در این پژوهش روش جمع آوری داده ها، استفاده از اسناد اینترنتی و کتابخانه ای بوده که به صورت تحلیلی - توصیفی به نگارش درآمده است. نتایج این پژوهش نشان می دهد جنگ روسیه و اوکراین در چارچوب تیوریک امنیت هستی شناختی مبتنی بر مولفه های اوراسیا گرایی، ملی گرایی و ژیوپلیتیک روسی که روایت بیوگرافیک روسیه را شکل می دهند به وجود آمده است و حمله به اوکراین اتخاذ کنشی شرافتمندانه در راستای پرهیز از شرم توسط روسیه تلقی می شود.

    کلید واژگان: امنیت هستی شناختی, روسیه, اوکراین, شرم, کنش شرافتمندانه}
    Pejman Norouzi, Emad Helalat, Amirreza Moghavemi

    Conflicts and many of the states’ actions can be analyzed through the theory of ontological security. Sometimes, states take measures which endanger their physical and realistic security. States confront disdain through honor seeking actions. The main question of the present research state: how ontological security triggered Russia to start the war with Ukraine? To answer this question, the hypothesis of the research states that neglecting Russia’s existential security borders from the West – within the form of NATO – led Russia to extensive military conflict with Ukraine in order to remind the West of its existential security borders. In the present research, data gathering method has been based on internet and library documents and the research has been conducted on the basis of descriptive-analytical approach. The findings of the research shows that Russia-Ukraine war has risen within the theoretical framework of ontological security which is based on Eurasianism and Russian nationalism and geopolitics that shape Russia’s biographic narrative. Russia’s attack on Ukraine is considered to be an honorable action to refrain from shame and disdain.

    Keywords: Ontological security, Russia, Ukraine, disdain, honorable action}
سامانه نویسندگان
  • عماد هلالات
    هلالات، عماد
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