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فهرست مطالب j. shahraki

  • M. Moodi, R. Hosseinzadeh *, J. Shahraki

    The consumption of households and its structure has an important role in the rate of energy consumption and related air pollutant emissions. This study investigates the effect of changes in the structure of consumption in urban and rural areas on the emission of three main energy-related air pollutants (CO2, SO2, and NOX) in Iran during 2001-2011. To this aim, the environmentally extended input-output tables and structural decomposition analysis (SDA) were used. As the contribution of this study, the consumption of households is decomposed into two factors: total consumption and consumption structure. The results revealed that the changes in consumption structure in rural and urban areas increased the emission of all three air pollutants. The effect of changes in total consumption in both urban and rural areas outweighs the effect of changes in consumption structure. The negative environmental impact of urban households is worse than rural ones. The results at sectoral level showed that the changes in urban consumption structure had the main effect on CO2 emission in “water, gas and electricity” (135.68 Mt CO2), “chemical and plastics industry” (30.13 Mt CO2), and “food, clothing and textiles industry” (6.41 Mt CO2) whilst the changes in rural consumption structure had the main effect on CO2 emission in “water, gas and electricity” (25.39 Mt CO2), “chemical and plastics industry” (19.98 Mt CO2), and “food, clothing and textiles industry” (1.74 Mt CO2).

    Keywords: Environmental input-output, Consumption structure, Rural, urban, Iran}
  • مهدی جعفری، جواد شهرکی*، احمد اکبری

    در طول سه دهه اخیر، با توجه به رشد جمعیت، رشد اقتصادی و مصرف انرژی، خطرات و آسیب های زیست محیطی بیشتر نمایان شده است. ایران کشوری رو به رشد است و یکی از مصادیق الگوی رشد با فشار بر منابع طبیعی محسوب می شود؛ از این ‏رو، بررسی اثرات زیست ‏محیطی مصرف منابع طبیعی و توسعه در ایران بسیار حائز اهمیت است. هدف پژوهش حاضر بهینه یابی سیاست های کشاورزی با محوریت حفظ محیط زیست و بهبود بهره وری اقتصادی از طریق ساخت یک مدل بهینه ‏سازی چندهدفه دوسطحی و ارزیابی مجموعه جواب‏های بهینه به‏ دست آمده از دو نوع ابزار سیاستی «افزایش قیمت نهاده آب» و «برقراری مالیات بر کود مصرفی» بود. پژوهش به‏ صورت مطالعه موردی در بخش زراعت کشاورزی دشت خمین و طی سال زراعی 95-1394 صورت گرفت. مجموعه جواب‏های بهینه پارتو به دست آمده از ارزیابی سیاست افزایش قیمت نهاده آب و برقراری مالیات بر کود شیمیایی نشان ‏داد که در الگوهای کشت شامل محصولات لوبیا و پیاز، بهره‏ وری بالاتر و مصرف کود کمتر از سایر الگوهای کشت بهینه است؛ همچنین، تغییر الگوی کشت به محصولات پیشنهادی افزایش بهره‏ وری مصرف آب به میزان 162 درصد و کاهش 29 درصدی میانگین کود مصرفی و نیز کاهش 33 درصدی فرسایش خاک را موجب می شود. با توجه به نتایج به دست آمده، شایسته است با انتخاب ابزار سیاستی افزایش قیمت نهاده آب، از محصولات لوبیا و پیاز در ترکیب الگوی کشت کشاورزان بهره گرفته شود.

    کلید واژگان: بهینه‏ یابی چندهدفه دوسطحی, سیاست های زیست محیطی, محصولات زراعی, خمین (دشت)}
    M. Jafari, J. Shahraki *, A. Akbari

    Over the past three decades, due to population growth, economic growth and energy consumption, environmental hazards have increased. Iran is a growing country and one of the examples of growth patterns with pressure on natural resources. Therefore, it is very important to study the environmental impacts of natural resources consumption and development in Iran. This study aimed at optimizing the agricultural policies with the orientation of environment conservation and improved economic productivity through building a two-level multi-objective optimization model as well as evaluating the optimal set of solutions obtained from two policy tools of 'increase in price of inputs' and 'introduction of taxes on fertilizer consumption'. This research was conducted as a case study in agricultural sector of Khomein Plain in Iran and during the 2015-2016 cropping year. The 'Pareto-optimal' set of answers obtained from the evaluation of the concerned policies showed that cultivars including beans and onions resulted in higher yields and lower fertilizer consumption than the other optimal cultivar patterns. Also, changing the cropping pattern to the proposed products would lead to an increase in water use productivity by 162 percent and a 29 percent reduction in the average consumed fertilizer while reducing the soil erosion by 33 percent. Given the study results, the bean and onion products are recommended to be used in the composition of farmers' cultivation pattern.

    Keywords: : Multi-Objective Bi-Level Optimization, Environmental Policy, Crop Production, Khomein (Plain)}
  • M Dahmardeh *, J Shahraki, A Akbari

    In the development process of the countries, the wetlands play a significant role in people’s well-being by providing the goods and services that are used directly and indirectly. Some examples of these goods include recreational use (as non-consumable values), harvested meat (as direct consumable values), carbon uptake, oxygen generation, water conservation, and soil retention (as indirect consumable values). In addition to consumption values, wetlands have other values too; i.e. the money paid by people to protect the wetlands for future use, for next generations and for their being, no matter if they are used or not used. These non-consumable values are called protection values, too. The present work estimated the value of goods and services of Hamoon wetland ecosystem in the form of biodiversity function in order to economically evaluate the drought damages to Hamoon wetland in 2015. The data needed to estimate the value of these functions were collected by a questionnaire. The biodiversity protection value of Hamoon wetland as the protection value of its forest ecosystem was estimated by contingent valuation method using the data collected from 450 people living in the rural areas surrounding the wetland. The results show that the value of protection of the Hamoon wetland biodiversity is 333.75 billion IRR and the expected WTP to protect its wildlife is 35542.74 IRR per family per year.

    Keywords: Damage, drought, Hamoon Wetland, Economic Assessment}
  • M Mohammad Ghasemi *, M.R Naroui Rad, G Keikha, J Shahraki

    In this study, the water content that is allocated for agricultural productions wasanalyzed using stochastic dynamic programming. The technical coefficients used in thestudy referred to the agricultural years, 2013-2014. They were obtained through the useof simple random sampling of 250 farmers in the region for crops like wheat, barley,melon, watermelon, and ruby grapes under the scenarios of drought and normal andwater that is required in the most sensitive growth stages. Production function and profitfunction were obtained from the yield-water-product function of crops using Eviewssoftware. Expected net profit of the system and optimal allocation of water were alsocalculated based on the GAMS economic analysis software. Results of the modelindicates a reduction in wheat, barley, melon and watermelon production area undercultivation while at the same time an increase in ruby grapes cultivation areas underoptimal conditions. The results showed that the cultivation of the ruby grape was thebest product with the highest expected profit in normal and drought conditions. Ingeneral, when the expected value of net profit is positive, managers would actoptimistically and they would promise the optimal level of water allocated to thefarmers.

    Keywords: Expected value, Agricultural Production, Stochastic dynamic programming, Hirmand River Basin}
  • S Rigi, J Shahraki *

    The main objective of the current study was to estimate the demand function forwater in the industrial sector of Zahedan city based on the methodology of dualitypremise. To this end, the trans-log cost function which is considered as a morerobust framework for the analysis of production relationships was utilized toestimate the demand function of water in the industrial sector instead of usingconventional production methods. This is an applied survey in which the trans-logcost function and the cost share equations using Iterative Seemingly UnrelatedRegressions (ISUR) approach. After the estimation of the model, the productioninfrastructure technologies, the substitution and price elasticity were calculatedand homothetic, constant return to scale and Cob-Douglas hypotheses for theproduction function were tested using Eviews software. The data of the study referto 30 active production units located in the industrial clusters of the Zahedan cityduring the period from 2011 to 2012. Data were collected through questionnaires.The determination coefficient of the model was equal to 97 percent whichindicated the goodness of fit. On the other hand, the results of the modelestimation represented water as a non-elastic commodity because the priceelasticity calculated for water was less than 1 (-0.07). Moreover, the calculatedvalues for Allen-Uzawa and Morishima elasticities indicated a strong substitutionrelationship between water as a production input and machinery (6.69) andbuilding (1.30) inputs. On the other hand, there was a weak substitution effectbetween water and land inputs (0.65) and a complementary relationship existedbetween water and labor inputs (-0.43). However, it should be mentioned that thehomotheticity, constant returns to scale, and the Cob-Dagoulas form of the costfunction hypotheses were rejected based on the Maximum Likelihood Ratio(Wald-Statistic).

    Keywords: Demand for Water, Price Elasticity for Water, Translog Cost Functions, Zahedan city}
  • جواد شهرکی، علیرضا کرباسی، مرتضی یعقوبی *

    هدف از مطالعه حاضر، ارزیابی عملکرد تعاونی ها و واحدهای غیرتعاونی فعال پرورش میگو در منطقه گواتر شهرستان چابهار استان سیستان و بلوچستان می باشد. عملکرد این واحدها با استفاده از دو شاخص سودآوری و کارایی فنی بررسی شده است. سودآوری با استفاده از معیار درآمد ناخالص و کارایی فنی واحدها با استفاده از مدل های غیرپارامتریک BCC و سوپرکارایی به دست آمد. همچنین نوع بازده به مقیاس هر یک از بنگاه ها برآورد شد. داده ها از کل جامعه مورد بررسی (25واحد در سال88) جمع آوری گردید. نتایج مدل های کارایی نشان داد میانگین کارایی فنی با استفاده از مدلBCC 85% است، در حالی که تنها 25% از بنگاه های مورد بررسی کاملا کارا بودند. رتبه بندی حاصل از مدل سوپرکارایی نشان داد که تفاوت معنی داری بین کارایی واحدها وجود دارد. نتایج بررسی نشان داد که ناکارایی بنگاه ها ناشی از پایین بودن سطح مهارت های مدیریتی می باشد. به منظور افزایش کارایی انجام آموزش های ترویجی پیشنهاد گردیده است.

    کلید واژگان: تحلیل پوششی, سودآوری, سوپرکارایی, گواتر, مدل BCC}
    J. Shahraki, A.R. Karbasi, M. Yaghoubi

    The purpose of this study is to assess the performance of shrimp cooperatives and non-cooperatives in Guatr district in Chabahar city of Sistan and Baluchistan province. To achieve the objective of study, profitability and efficiency indices were used. Data were collected from 25 shrimp farms. Technical efficiency was estimated by BCC and super efficiency models. The results of study revealed that all farms made profit. Moreover, the ranking of super efficiency models showed significant differences among efficiency levels of farms. Low level of efficiency was mainly related to poor management and rate of inputs utilization. Therefore, providing intensive extension services was recommended.

سامانه نویسندگان
  • جواد شهرکی
    شهرکی، جواد
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