فهرست مطالب mahya lotfi

Beliefs are the result of uncertainty. Sometimes uncertainty is because of a random process and sometimes the result of lack of information. In the past, the only solution in situations of uncertainty has been the probability theory. But the past few decades, various theories of other variables and systems are put forward for the systems with no adequate and accurate information. One of these approaches is the theory of evidence. In recent years, the theory Dempster-Shafer or the theory of belief functions as a generalization of the probability theory, which makes the display of different levels of information, from complete certainty to total ignorance. According to the theory of belief, the belief function presents a mathematical probability for the use of mental judgments.A model for persenting belief functions is the transferable belief model. This model is basically similar to the Bayesian model. In this model, beliefs are at two levels, one credal level in which beliefs are accepted by belief functions that are quantified, and other is the pignistic level in which beliefs can be used for decision making and quantified by probability functions. This model differs the Bayesian model regarding creedal level; the Bayesian model does not have this level.