جستجوی مقالات مرتبط با کلیدواژه « complex system » در نشریات گروه « علوم سیاسی »

With the complexity of the international system and its chaos, foreign policy of countries as part of this system no longer follow the linear logic of the past. Therefore, in the field of foreign policy, there is a need for a new analytical system based on the characteristics of such a system. The West Asian system is heavily influenced by the complexity of the international system. Considering of this point, the main qiestion of this research is what is  the principles and basics of Iran’s foreign polciy strtegy in the west asian regional system considering the complexity which are controlling this network ? The diversity of threats, the diversity of actors, dynamics interference, nonlinear behavior patterns, and the intense cluster of network is the characteristics that Iran faces with them in west Asian network, and according to it, the strategic diversity in west of Asia networking and the strategic system based on triangular _ network deterrence  is axis of Iran's foreign policy in West Asia.

Chaotic and complex systems exhibit surprising and nonlinear behaviors in complexity situations. Although scientists have studied these theories for many years, but in theoretical field of international relations, especially war and deterrence hasn’t been survived. Fundamental idea in this article is uneven distribution of sensitive dependency among states and in complex and chaotic international system as a network is driving force and key variable in explaining of war. The author believes that distribution patterns of sensitive dependency in system will form nonlinear strategic stability equation or make it dysfunctional. Therefore war control system especially deterrence is faced to nonlinear state with transitional equilibrium. This system should operate in self-organized method. Every instability in this system could lead to war. By this way by undermining the deterrence system, nonlinear instability could trigger of war. This argument conceptualizes an understanding of war and deterrence drown from complexity and chaotic theory and suggests that future researches into question of war and deterrence must be aimed to develop such theories and models.

Essentially, the international system is divided into different groups, specially linear and non-linear systems. In modern times, the complex international system as a modern order framework has different dynamics. Power dynamics is one of the most important of these dynamics which- in a few settings, may lead into war. The evolvement of international system, and consequently, its power dynamics changes the models of war. So, the analysis of the relations between this dynamics and models of war inform the main interests in this article. On this basis, the fundamental question is " What are the models that power dynamics of complex and chaotic systems of war form in international relations?" To answer this question, the main hypothesis is that power dynamics as the most important dynamics in the complex and chaotic system is focused on stability and system stabilization. A state of strategic stability between units is formed due to the function of power dynamics where the units are unable in the process of imposing their will upon others. As a result, it is concluded that war between these units seems impossible. So, war infiltrates into other regions and system areas as a result of the characteristics of the system and the severe losses incurred upon the units in employing the models of direct war. Proxy, indirect and internal warfare is formed in order to balance, limit and even destroy the rivals. Here, the war distribution model in geopolitical regions has greater density. This research uses theoretical modeling on the basis of deductive reasoning, and then after that, it uses time-series method in order to consolidate the findings of the research.

Basically during the history of international relations, deterrence has been one of the most important concepts in order management and protection of security system. But due to the evolution of international system, those strategies and constructions have undergone radical changes. In this respect, complex and chaos system have changed of strategies of deterrence. Therefore, this question will be addressed that what is the effect of developments in the world system, (especially its network property in the framework of complex and chaos systems) on logical principles and physical construction of deterrence systems in defense strategy. By the formation of the asymmetric order, the defense strategy of deterrence system will change. In this respect, this article argues that comprehensive defense strategy will be the dominant pattern of deterrence. Balancing, homeo finality, synchronizing communications, making a multilevel network, synergy and externalization, and bifurcating of order in system have been logical principles of a comprehensive defense and cybernetic network defense (as physical form of such defense). For studying the principal question and analyzing our hypothesis, by using deductive modeling, first the theoretical and conceptual framework of comprehensive defenses strategy will be depicted and then analytic variables of asymmetric order in complex and chaos system will be examined and in the third part, the model of deterrence in asymmetric order will be depicted.