جستجوی مقالات مرتبط با کلیدواژه « thermodynamic parameters » در نشریات گروه « جغرافیا »

North Indian Ocean (NIO), which includes the Bay of Bengal(BoB) and the Arabian Sea (AS),is one of the tropical oceans and therefore, prone to the formation of the tropical cyclones (TC).  On a global scale, approximately 7% of the tropical cyclones are formed in this area. Studies indicate an increase in the frequency of remarkably powerful cyclonesin the Arabian Sea in recent years.In the period between May 16 and 27, 2018, two very strong cyclones called Sagar and Mekunu, affected southwestern and western regions of the Arabian Sea. The present study aims to determine the role of large-scale environmental parameters affecting the tropical cyclogenesis during the life period of these two storms.

The current study collects data, including the location of cyclones occurrence, tropical cyclone track, the minimum sea level pressure, and maximum wind speed from the report prepared by the India Meteorological Department. Requiredoceanic and atmospheric parameters, including U and V components of wind (at 200 and 850 hPa levels), relative humidity (at 600 hPa level), sea surface temperature (SST), sea level pressure (SLP), air temperature, pressure, and specific humidity at 23 levels of pressure (levels of 1, 2, 3, 5, 7, 10, 20, 30, 50, 70, 100, 150, 200, 250, 300, 400, 500, 600, 700, 775, 850, 925, 1000 hPa) were also extracted from the reanalyzed dataof ECMWF (European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts)on a daily basis and with the spatial resolution of 0.5°longitude and 0.5° latitude. In order to achieve the goal of the research, first, the values of large-scale environmental parametersplaying a crucial role in TC formation, including absolute vorticity (at 850 hPa level), vertical wind shear, potential intensity, and relative humidity, were calculatedusingGRADS and MATLAB. The related maps were also plotted and analyzed. Then, the genesis potential index of days before the storms occurrence wascalculated for different regions of the Arabian Sea, and the likely areas for cyclone occurrence were predicted based on the index. Finally, some anomaly maps were produced for the atmospheric parameters affecting cyclogenesis, and changes in these parameters were examined in the life period of the storms as compared to the normal climatological conditions.

Results indicated that the storms track coincided with the regions in which maximum relative humidity and maximum absolute vorticity occur.During cycloneSagar, relative humidity in areas affected by the cyclone reached over 80%. During the formation period ofcycloneMekunu,maximum relative humidity was observed in the area between 0°N to 10°N and 50°E to 80°E- the area dominated byMekunucyclone. Spatial distribution of environmental variables, such as temperature, sea level pressure, and vertical wind shear indicates that the favorable values of these parameters have been concentrated in the areas affected by the cyclones in all three phases of their formation, intensification, and dissipation.Although, vertical wind shear did not considerably change in different parts of the Arabian Seaduring the life cycle of Sagar, its minimum levelwas reported in the Gulf of Aden. Similarly, with the increase in wind speed duringcyclone Mekunu on May 25, the minimum vertical wind shear moved to the northern latitudes and its value ranged from 6 to 12 m/s in the western Arabian Sea. The maximum absolute vorticity is observed in the Gulf of Aden during the life cycle of Sagarcyclone, and these conditions continue until cyclone’s dissipation. Also duringcycloneMekunu, maximum absolute vorticity was observed in the areas affected by thecyclone. Affected by the maximum sea surface temperature, potential intensity indexreached a value of more than 70 m/s in regions affected by the storms (20-degree north latitude). Spatial distribution of GPI values collected from the days before the cyclones occurrence indicated that there is a strong correlation between the spatial distribution of this index and the occurrence of cyclones. Furthermore, the storm track also coincided with the increase in this index,so that highest GPI values were concentrated in areas dominated by cyclones Sagar and Mekunu.Analysis of anomaly maps revealed that compared to the long-term average,sea surface temperature and relative humidity have increased in the area affected by tropical cyclones and sea level pressure and vertical wind shear have decreased.

Findings of the present research indicated that dynamic and thermodynamic parameters have provided the most favorable cyclogenesis conditions in the areas affected by the storms. In other words, the cyclone had moved to the direction in whichenvironmental parametersexhibited the best threshold levels. Therefore, it is possible to predict the occurrence of tropical cyclones in the northern latitudes of the Arabian Sea, especially in the Gulf of Oman,based on the changes in large-scale environmental parameters in different parts of the Arabian Sea.

Climatic geography of Tropical Cyclone hazards Affective on the southern coasts of Iran
The occurrence of any climatic fringes, including annual tropical storms, leave irreparable risks in its dominated areas. Understanding these events and knowledge of the time of their occurrence can be helpful in managing the unexpected incidents caused by them. Tropical cyclones are important natural turbulent processes in tropical and middle ecosystems in a number of regions of the world. Among the dynamic conditions of the atmosphere for the formation of tropical storms, there are three basic conditions: 1. The vertical wind shear should be limited between the 850 to 200 mb and the wind speed between these levels should be less than 10 meters per second. Such a situation allows the formation of a straight column, without breaking, to initiate tropical storms. 2- The formation state of tropical storms should be such that at least it is five degrees of latitude distant from the equator. Such conditions provide the minimum of Coriolis force to provide the tropical cyclic rotation along with other fundamental and apparent forces of the atmosphere and they occur following the pressure forces, Coriolis and centrifugal forces, cyclostrophic winds, and cyclic circulation in the center of the low pressure. 3- The presence of turbulence or discordance with vorticity and the convergence in the lower troposphere, or the anticyclone rotation and divergence in the upper levels of the atmosphere before the onset of activity, and the formation of tidal disturbances. Tropical storms are created by the presence of various dynamic and thermodynamic factors such as sea surface temperature and moisture content (thermodynamic properties), and flow and vertical winding functions (dynamic characteristics).
The parameters studied in this study for the dynamic and thermodynamic analysis of the tropical rotation of 1948 generally included the mean sea level pressure, geopotential heights, zonal and meridional components of wind, convection available potential energy, convective stabilization index, vertical velocity, relative vorticity, Sea surface temperature, humidity, and cloud cover levels which are drawn from the European Center for Medium Forecast Scale (ECMWF) with spatial resolution of 0.75 applying GRADS software. The study of combinational maps of 500 milligrams of geopotential heights and vorticity advection on the first day of the cyclone (1948/06/05) indicates the presence of a very strong low-altitude center with seven closed curves on the Arabian Sea. The most inner curve of this low-altitude center has the lowest elevation with 5650 geopotential meters height and the maximum vorticity advection and downright negative velocity of 10 and 0.5 Pascal to seconds, respectively. The above-mentioned Jetstream map with a maximum speed of 16 m / s, which covers the east of the center of the altitude, contributes to the greater divergence of this system. The formation of a very strong negative eddy in the 500-mb equilibrium also indicates intense instability at the site of the tropical cyclone and is actually a factor in the formation and reinforcement of such cyclones .The above-mentioned low altitude continues its cyclonic rotation at the level of 850 mb with two closed curves, and the maximum vorticity advection and downright negative velocity of 16 and 0.6 Pascal to second, respectively, due to the presence of lower level radar with a maximum speed of 20 m / s on the south side and similarly, in the south-east, it continued to circulate more rapidly at a rate higher than 500 mb, which results in the formation of the first pressure packet with a central
pressure of 997.5 mb on the sea surface. The high amount of specific humidity of 850 mb from the start of cyclone activity (12 g / kg), and the increase in this parameter in the next days of activity reaches 14 g / kg and also 4.5 g / kg at 500 millimeter equilibrium point to the high humidity at the location of the low-pressure center and the optimum conditions for the extraction of heavy rainfall in the eye wall of cyclone. Cloud cover maps also indicate a climber air density of up to 500 mb and the formation of a cloud at different levels of the atmosphere at the site of the formation of tropical rotation. The results show that the formation of the lower Jetstream, along with the tropical cyclone event (from 05 to 08 of 1948) affecting the southern coast of Iran, has been able to create severe air mass divergences in the left half of the nucleus and following this mechanism and the relationship between this velocity nucleus and the lower levels of the atmosphere and the sea level in the vertical direction, with the convergence of the mass, has been accompanied with the reduction of density and, finally, the reduction of pressure and the formation of turbulence, as the first ring for the development of tropical cyclones; therefore, the altitude of 850 mb and jet stream located at this elevation affected by the high-rise phenomenon on the western shores of the ocean (sometimes in the east of Madagascar) is considered as one of the most effective dynamic factors for the birth and development of this tropical cyclone on the southern coast of Iran. The tropical cyclone was formed from June 5 to June 8, 1948, at approximately 16 degrees north and 60 degrees east on the Arabian Sea. And, in general, the interaction between high pressure tongues on Saudi Arabia, Tibet and Iran, and the tropical cyclones has prepared the conditions for the activity and displacement of the tropical rotation. Previous studies of tropical storms have considered other synthetic systems, such as cyclones over Europe, and the integration of cyclones on the Mediterranean and Oman, as well as the displacement of the axis of tropical cyclones at middle and upper levels of the atmosphere affective in the escalation and displacement of the storm. It is also believed that the southern coast of Iran is also effective, and in general, less attention is paid to the causes of the development of the storm.

Thunderstorm and flood in July 2015 in Tehran, at the same time covered 10 provinces. So not a local phenomenon occurred on a large scale and synoptic rooted in the general circulation atmosphere and large-scale phenomena such as changes in the polar vortex. In the warm season convection and provides synchronization of the dynamic conditions the atmosphere can provide the potential for thunderstorms. In this study, using maps prediction, station information upper atmosphere, conditions Synoptic and indicators of thermodynamics, such as PW, CAPE, SWEAT, LI, TT, K happening thunderstorms dated 19 July 2015 in Tehran were analyzed to evaluate Predictability. The results showed that the synoptic conditions and thermodynamic parameters of the upper atmosphere at Tehran's Mehrabad Airport stations have shown to predict potential flood risk at moderate to high risk. Therefore, access and timely monitoring and information upper air and maps prediction and also early warning system to inform, thunderstorms, especially storms are associated with rainfall, predictable and reduce the damage caused by them is possible.