جستجوی مقالات مرتبط با کلیدواژه « futures » در نشریات گروه « جغرافیا »

Given that today there are significant developments in the field of urbanization, especially population and migration, so future research and a vision for the future in adopting population policies, strategies and programs can be beneficial and ultimately likely to occur. To further the desirable future. The purpose of this study is to investigate the future of population and migration changes in the cities of North, Razavi and South Khorasan provinces. The research is applied in terms of purpose and descriptive-analytical in nature. The method of data collection is also documentary and field. The trend impact analysis method has been used for future research on population changes and migration. The results show that according to population and migration forecasts, the urban population in Khorasan province during the years 1330-1394 has an increasing trend, but the population growth rate will continue to decline, as we approach the coming years the number of migrants. Also reduced. 50 key factors and 13 factors affecting population and urban migration in Khorasan provinces are considered by experts and ratings in micmac software. Using Scenario Wizard software, 3 strong or probable scenarios, 11 high compatibility scenarios and 261 weak scenarios, were extracted. Of the 3 and 11 scenarios, only three scenarios, which are more robust than the other scenarios, show a favorable population and urban migration in the coming years.

Physical-spatial developments have been expanding in many villages over the last two decades. This trend has developed in habitats with natural attractions, such as the mountains, waterfalls and fruit gardens, and especially the shrine. Lands and gardens to residential areas have turned farmers away from continuing farming activities. One of the most important rural areas of Tehran affected by this phenomenon. Since Solghan and Bakhshand have undergone many changes, also to Investigate Land Use Transformations from Landsat 5 and 7 Satellite Images Information 1991 to 2016 is used in GIS software. The research method depends on the purpose and nature of the research and its feasibility, so according to the nature of the present study, the research method is descriptive in which we examine the status of developments and make the results practical, resulting in a day-to-day approach. In addition to rural residents changing land use and converting them into marketable pieces of land to build second homes, this process has changed the rural socio-cultural context of the area to change the rural landscape, texture, physical, structural and functional change of the villages. . Consequently, as awareness of land use patterns and changes over time is a prerequisite for optimal use of national capital, therefore, land use mapping as the most important goal in natural resource base management can be the case Notice.

The spatial structure of cities is influenced by various factors such as urban smart growth indices such as environment, access and use of information and communication technology, public city management, human and social capital, education, government, creative class, energy Formation, transportation, water, medical and healthcare facilities, finance, etc., the evolution of which depends on how these factors and sub-criteria are affected. These propellers also have a variety of connections with each other that chart the future of cities. The purpose of this study is to identify the key key drivers of smart city development and examine how these factors affect the future prospects of spatial development in Sardasht. The present study, based on the applied purpose, has been exploratory and based on a forward-looking approach. Given the nature of this research, first identify and select the experts and executives who should be involved in the discussion, and then use the Delphi method, questionnaires, interviews, and documentary studies to determine key variables. Structural analysis and Mic Mac software have also been used to weigh and identify the most important drivers affecting the spatial development of Sardasht. The statistical population of the study consisted of 10 experts, experts and executives related to Sardasht city management.