جستجوی مقالات مرتبط با کلیدواژه « Futures Studies » در نشریات گروه « اقتصاد »

Policymakers should make policies for vague and uncertain futures. Considering that futurist have an important role in the policy-making process, but future- oriented research is not considered a part of policy-making. The purpose of this article is to identify the factors that improve the futures field and policy-making relationship. The identification of these factors has been done with the method of library studies and focus groups. eight factors improving the communication between the two fields of future studies and policy-making were identified, of which eight factors specifically improve the relationship between policy analysis and futures studies, which have the weak relationship; These factors include: the level of uncertainty, the type of subjective judgment towards the future, the type of policy analysis, the conditions of the policy environment towards the future, the approach of the agents towards the future, the understanding of the system in facing futures issues, the institutional conditions of openness to alternatives and time horizonis about the future. After that, the alternatives of each of these factors have been extracted to expand the vision towards the future, which can be the basis of different scenarios of supportive decision-making models in future research. rs.

The world today is facing challenges that are caused by the transformations resulting from the progress of science and technology and the design of new needs. In this regard, the smart city model is a new solution that, in accordance with the advancement of information and communication technology and meeting the new needs of citizens in their urban life, forces urban planners to review and rethink their actions. This research, which is in the field of identifying the main and key factors in the future of the smart city in Tabriz metropolis, in terms of purpose and in terms of method, a combination of documentary and survey methods and in terms of nature, is based on the new methods of futures scientific, analytical and exploratory methods that have been done using a combination of qualitative and quantitative models.Meanwhile, to apply appropriate policy strategies, some 55 primary factors were identified by the panel of experts by using the resource review and Delphi method. In order to determine the key factors and effective drivers in this system, 16 factors were introduced using the cross-impact matrix. The final findings indicate that smart economy and smart mobility have the largest share as the main actors in this collection and will play a more effective role in the future of Smart City and it is expected that driver affecting on the smart future of Tabriz metropolis be one comprising mobility and economic components.Based on the results, among the 55 factors identified, 16 factors played a major role as key factors effective in the smart future process of Tabriz metropolis and were recognized as the main actors. The main requirement for developing scenarios for key factors is the definition of possible situations and a detailed analysis of the upcoming conditions, and finally 61 possible situations were compiled for 16 key factors. By thoroughly evaluating possible situations, 7856 possible scenarios, 21 plausible scenarios and 5 scenarios with high probability of future condition of Smart City in Tabriz were identified

Government institution, is one of the most important institutions affecting economic strategies in countries. In international-relation scope, this is known as nation-state. Fundamental changes in this Concepts as a result of advancements in information technology and the Globalization approach are evident. These changes are happening so rapidly and are so deep that may introduce discontinuity and rapture in social relations and even total metamorphosis of how state controls the political and economic directions and strategies. Consistent with changes and social developments, social phenomenon of the state has continuously been changing throughout history from ancient times till now; hence also we can expect its change in future. Especially in light of the wide-ranging changes that have taken place in Information and Communication Technology (ICT) and in parallel with the formation of the process of globalization, evolution of the concept of nation-state seems to be inevitable in line with these evolutions. It is important to address this issue if, in the future, the nation-state undergoes conceptual or functional changes; because without considering these changes, any foresight will not be credible with regard to the future of nations, economic and developments in politics and international relations. In this paper, some forms of functional and conceptual transformation and development of the nation-state in the future is described and possible alternative futures based on the advancements in information technology and possible changes in the elements of the nation-state are described