جستجوی مقالات مرتبط با کلیدواژه « data filtering » در نشریات گروه « علوم انسانی »

The comperehensive analysis of economy should consider three main macreconoomics varibales such as; Inflation Rate, Unemployment Rate and Economics Growth Rate that Okun 's Law could be accompolish this important issue, by using Actual and NAIRU Unemployment. In this paper, Unemployment Rate following with the Non Accelerating Inflation Rate in Iran's provinces is estimated by using Space –State and Filtering Methods (Kalman Filter); then the relationship between Economic Growth rate and Unemployment Rate (Natural and Rael) in Iran's provinces is investigated seasonally during the period 2006-17 by using Generalized Method of Moments (GMM). The results indicate that an irregular gap between the Real Unemployment Rate and NAIRU in Iran's provinces and in the entire country. Moreover, according to the results of this paper, increasing economic growth with oil in the provinces does not have a significat effect on employment, but economic growth without oil will lead to reduction in unemployment in Iran's provinces and confirmation of the Okan's law.These result indicate that oil sector in Iran's economy is not indogenous and no effects on Labour Market in provinces.

This paper survey the estimating methods of Non Accelerating Inflation Rate of Unemployment in provinces of Iran. In this paper, statistical techniques and time series filtering methods (Hodrick-Prescott, Calman and Band-Po) have been used to estimate NAIRU during the period 2003-17. In the Band-Pass filtering method, we lose many observations at the beginning and the end of time series, so in this paper, we only used the results of the two methods of Hodrick-Prescott and Kalman filter. After estimating the model, the differences between the real unemployment rate and the NAIRU are calculated and provinces ranked based on these differences by using statistical tests.The results indicate an irregular trend in the gap between the real unemployment rate and the NAIRU in the entire country and provinces.The results indicate an irregular trend in the gap between the real unemployment rate and the NAIRU in the entire country and provinces