جستجوی مقالات مرتبط با کلیدواژه « stepwise regression » در نشریات گروه « محیط زیست »

Drought is an inevitable phenomenon known as a natural disaster. Iran has not been immune to this damage in history.

The purpose of this study is to identify drought management and thus provide solutions to drought management. At first, individual, social, economic, educational, technical and policy indicators were surveyed in villages of Ardakan city with the highest drought. The statistical population of this research is Ardakan farmers (N=3130), of which 418 samples were collected by Cochran sampling method for collecting information through a questionnaire. A questionnaire was used to collect the data and for its reliability, the preliminary test was confirmed by completing 30 questionnaires and the Cronbach's alpha coefficient for its different parts was calculated to be between 0.702 and 0.805.

The results of stepwise regression analysis indicate that social and cultural indicators explain 46.1 percent of variance dependent changes (drought management) and have been considered as the most influential indicator in this research.

In the field of social and cultural indicators in the direction of drought management, it is suggested that by promoting the culture of using water and using cultural and promotional tools during drought among farmers and also providing conditions for providing better drought management information to the villagers Help manage the drought as best as possible through communication channels.

Increasing concentrations of heavy metals in the environment have raised serious environmental concerns. Cadmium is one of the most toxic heavy elements in organisms and it has no biological role. So far, little research has been done on the status of heavy metals in pistachio orchards and factors affecting them. Therefore, the purpose of this study was to determine the relationship between cadmium extracted with DTPA in soil and other soil physical and chemical properties in agricultural soils of Rafsanjan using stepwise regression and artificial neural network modeling.

In this study, 140 soil samples from two depths of 0 to 40 and 40 to 80 cm were collected from pistachio orchards in six regions of Rafsanjan suburb. Soil characteristics including available Cd and Zn concentration measured using DTPA, P concentration by Olsen method, percent of sand, clay and silt by hydrometer method, and pH and electrical conductivity of soil saturated extract by pH meter and EC meter, respectively, were measured. In order to investigate the relationship between available Cd and physical and chemical properties of the soil, stepwise regression and artificial neural network (multi-layer feed forward) were used.

The results showed a significant and positive correlation between phosphorus and clay content and soil cadmium, a negative and significant correlation between Cd-DTPA and pH and clay percentage, and a positive correlation between available Cd and available Zn, total Zn, and total Cd. The results also showed that both modeling methods are
accurate in estimating soil cadmium concentration, although the neural network model was more accurate. The R2 and root of mean square error for the neural network model were 84.3% and 0.01% for the test data, and 27.2% and 1.43% for the stepwise regression model, respectively. Also, cadmium concentration showed the highest sensitivity to zinc concentration and other parameters such as clay, pH, phosphorus, EC, and sand were in the next order of importance, respectively. These results confirm that due to the consumption of zinc containing fertilizers and the increased consumption of phosphate fertilizers which have high impurity in the amount of cadmium, an increase in soil cadmium concentration is observed in the pistachio orchards.

Zinc and phosphorus fertilizers used in pistachio orchards have a significant impurity of cadmium that can cause soil contamination by cadmium due to its long-term use and absorption of this toxic element in pistachio plant and fruit. Therefore, while complying with national and international standards in the production and import of fertilizers, the use of these fertilizers should be optimized by analyzing and interpreting the results of soil and leaf analysis to reduce the risk of pistachio fruit contamination to cadmium.