جستجوی مقالات مرتبط با کلیدواژه "شاخص ثبات مالی و اقتصادی" در نشریات گروه "عمران"

One of the key elements to achieve economic growth and development of the country is financial stability. According to the empirical evidence in recent years and the intertwining of the financial system and the economic development of countries, high economic growth cannot be considered, but it was not successful in the financial markets. Therefore, considering the importance of the combined index of financial and economic stability in the economic growth and development of the country and especially the road transport sector, in this study the role of the combined index of financial and economic stability in the road transport sector of the country during the period of 1370-1401 has been examined. In the first step, the combined index of financial and economic stability was calculated with the help of the cumulative distribution function method, and then to investigate the effects of the combined indicators of financial and economic stability on the road transport sector, the Autoregressive Distributed Lag model was used to achieve the research findings. The results show that both in the short term and in the long term, the combined index of financial and economic stability has a positive effect on the added value of the road transport sector. The short-term and long-term elasticity of added value of the road transport sector is 0.074 and 0.153 respectively, which shows that its long-term elasticity is more than the short-term elasticity. Also, the results of the stability and diagnosis tests show that the coefficients of the variables are stable in the long term..

​Financial stability is the cornerstone of modern economies and shows the proper functioning of the financial system and is a prerequisite for economic growth and strengthening the economy against shocks. In the path of economic growth and development, financial stability and its effects play an important role in the economy. On the other hand, road transportation is one of the important sectors of the country's economy and has a great impact on the country's economic growth. So, considering the importance and role of financial and economic stability in increasing the country's economic growth, as well as the importance of road transportation in the country's economy, in this study, the analysis of short-term and long-term causality relationships between the financial and economic stability index and the economic growth of the investigated road transport sector is included. For this purpose, first, the combined financial and economic stability indices were calculated, and then the short-term and long-term causal relationships between the financial and economic stability index and the economic growth of the road transport sector were analyzed. The results indicate a long-term and short-term relationship between the growth of the combined indicators of financial and economic stability and the value-added growth of the road transport sector, the growth of the amount of goods carried and the growth of the amount of passengers carried in the road transport sector. The effect of combined indicators of financial and economic stability on the added value of the road transport sector, the growth of goods transportation and the growth of passenger transportation has been positive. There is a one-way causal relationship from the combined indicators of financial and economic stability to the added value of the road transport sector, the increase in the amount of goods transported and the growth in the amount of passenger transportation.