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جستجوی مقالات مرتبط با کلیدواژه « risk management » در نشریات گروه « مکانیزاسیون کشاورزی »

تکرار جستجوی کلیدواژه «risk management» در نشریات گروه «کشاورزی»
  • Mohsen Mousaei *, Ramin Safaveyan, Jahanbakhsh Rahimi Bagmalek

    Risk is an integral part of agriculture. risk management is the process of choosing an appropriate strategy from among different options to reduce risk. Therefore, the purpose of this research is to identify the factors affecting the effectiveness of farmers' risk management strategies in Khuzestan province. The research is exploratory in terms of its purpose, in terms of the nature and type of data study of the newly emerging foundation, and in terms of time, it is a survey research. The statistical population of the research consists of professors, managers and leading farmers and experts who had sufficient experience in the field of agriculture. The sample size included 15 experts. The analysis method in the qualitative part is the content analysis method. The research results in the qualitative part identified 10 main factors (individual factors, environmental factors, economic factors, market factors, product insurance, human factors, educational-promotional factors, agricultural characteristics, social factors and political-institutional factors), and 28 dimensions. (Age, education, family size, background, access to credit and financial services, income, savings and investment, price, economic situation of the country, ownership, severe market fluctuations, approximate distance from the garden to the sales center, middlemen, government guaranteed purchase , promotion of agricultural insurance culture, land characteristics, climatic factors, pest and disease, manpower information, education, promotion factors, crop cultivation, social trust, use of indigenous knowledge, social participation, stability of laws and regulations, communication with foreign neighbors, government support). finally led to the identification of 99 effective concepts on the effectiveness of risk management strategies.

    Keywords: risk management, farmers, Khuzestan province, Content Analysis Method}
  • علی ویسی، عباس روحانی*، محمد طبسی زاده، فرهاد کلاهان، رسول خدابخشیان
    شناسایی خطرات و ارزیابی ریسک، روشی سازمان یافته نظام مند برای اولویت بندی ریسک ها و تصمیم گیری در راستای کاهش ریسک، با توجه به اهمیت مدیریت یکپارچه دارایی های فیزیکی در راستای بهبود قابلیت اطمینان سیستم های بحرانی در ماشین CNC و نیز پیوستگی عملیات ماشین کاری و کاهش توقف تولید بسیار حائز اهمیت است. با توجه به حجم وسیع کاربرد فرآیندهای ماشین کاری با CNC در صنایع قطعه سازی به ویژه ماشین های کشاورزی، مطالعه پیرامون تحلیل ریسک و مدیریت آن یک الزام مهم به شمار می رود. لذا این پژوهش با هدف شناسایی و اولویت بندی عوامل شکست اجزای مکانیک ماشین CNC که موجب وقفه در عملکرد آن می شوند انجام گرفت. در این پژوهش از تکنیک تجزیه و تحلیل حالات خرابی و اثرات آن (FMEA) در دو حالت مرسوم و فازی برای ارزیابی ریسک اجزای مکانیک ماشین تراش CNC استفاده و نتایج آن ها مقایسه شد. طبق نظرات کارشناسان برای اجزای مکانیک ماشین CNC تراش در مجموع 7 سیستم مهم و 30 زیر سیستم وجود دارد که حالت های خرابی عمدتا در آن ها اتفاق می افتد. پس از ارزیابی مشخص شد که 2 سیستم اجزای محور و روان کاری حالت های خرابی شان در اولویت اول برای اقدامات کنترلی و اصلاحی قرار دارد. نتایج نشان داد رتبه بندی دقیق تر در روش FMEA فازی موجب بهبود اولویت بندی شده و در نتیجه بستر مناسب تری برای برنامه ریزی نگهداری و تعمیرات فراهم می کند.
    کلید واژگان: FMEA فازی, ماشین CNC, مدیریت ریسک, الویت بندی}
    Abbas Rohani
    Introduction
    In recent years, with development of industrial products with complex and precise systems, the demand for CNC machines has been increasing, and as its technology has been progressed, more failure modes have been developed with complex and multi-purpose structures. The necessity of CNC machines’ reliability is also more evident than ever due to its impact on production and its implementation costs. Aiming at reducing the risks and managing the performance of the CNC machine parts in order to increase the reliability and reduce the stop time, it is important to identify all of the failure modes and prioritize them to determine the critical modes and take the proper cautionary maintenance actions approach.
    Materials and Methods
         In this study, conventional and fuzzy FMEA, which is a method in the field of reliability applications, was used to determine the risks in mechanical components of CNC lathe machine and all its potential failure modes. The extracted information was mainly obtained by asking from CNC machine experts and analysts, who provided detailed information about the CNC machining process. These experts used linguistic terms to prioritize the S, O and D parameters. In the conventional method, the RPN numbers were calculated and prioritized for different subsystems. Then in the fuzzy method, first the working process of the CNC machine and the mechanism of its components were studied. Also, in this step, all failure modes of mechanical components of the CNC and their effects were determined. Subsequently, each of the three parameters S, O, and D were evaluated for each of the failure modes and their rankings. For ranking using the crisp data, usually, the numbers in 1-10 scale are used, then using linguistic variables, the crisp values are converted into fuzzy values (fuzzification). 125 rules were used to control the output values for correcting the input parameters (Inference). For converting input parameters to fuzzy values and transferring qualitative rules into quantitative results, Fuzzy Mamdani Inference Algorithm was used (Inference). In the following, the inference output values are converted into non-fuzzy values (defuzzification). In the end, the fuzzy RPNs calculated by the fuzzy algorithm and defuzzified are ranked.
    Results and Discussion
    In conventional FMEA method, after calculating the RPNs and prioritizing them, the results showed that this method grouped 30 subsystems into 30 risk groups due to the RPN equalization of some subsystems, while it is evident that by changing the subsystem, the nature of its failure and its severity would vary. Therefore, this result is not consistent with reality. According to the weaknesses of this method, fuzzy logic was used for better prioritization. In the fuzzy method, the results showed that, in the 5-point scale, with the Gaussian membership function and the Centroid defuzzification method, it was able to prioritize subsystems in 30 risk groups. In this method, gearboxes, linear guideway, and fittings had the highest priority in terms of the criticality of failure, respectively.
    Conclusions
    The results of the fuzzy FMEA method showed that, among the mechanical systems of CNC lathe machine, the axes components and the lubrication system have the highest FRPNs and degree of criticality, respectively. Using the fuzzy FMEA method, the experts' problems in prioritizing critical modes were solved. In fact, using the linguistic variables enabled experts to have a more realistic judgment of CNC machine components, and thus, compared to the conventional method, the results of the prioritization of failure modes are more accurate, realistic and sensible. Also, using this method, the limitations of the conventional method were reduced, and failure modes were prioritized more effectively and efficiently. Fuzzy FMEA is found to be an effective tool for prioritizing critical failure modes of mechanical components in CNC lathe machines. The results can also be used in arranging maintenance schedule to take corrective measures, and thereby, it can increase the reliability of the machining process.
    Keywords: CNC lathe machine, Fuzzy FMEA, Mechanical parts, Prioritizing, Risk management}
نکته
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