Analysis of Long-Term Memory in Volatility of Exchange Rate by FIGARCH Model with NIG Error

Abstract:
One of the issues in reviewing the performance of a financial market is existence of long-term memory. Since for a financial time series، we may find this feature in the volatility. So reviewing in volatility has been considered by many economists. A common method for identification and modeling of long-term memory in the volatility is to use FIGARCH models. In this paper، we identify and model long-term memory in the data exchange rates volatility (EUR/IRR). According to the statistical properties of skewness، heavy tail and excess kurtosis of data، assuming normal residuals being rejected and therefore cannot identify model by using common methods. The data structure looks NIG distribution is a good choice for the distribution of residuals. Hence with this assumption، we again identify model. The results show a good selection for data is FIGARCH-NIG model.
Language:
Persian
Published:
Journal of Statistical Sciences, Volume:7 Issue: 2, 2014
Pages:
151 to 168
https://magiran.com/p1253203