A N E W A P P R O A C H F O R P O R T F O L I O P E R F O R M A N C E E V A L U A T I O N I N M V S M O D E L I N G V I A D A T A E N V E L O P M E N T A N A L Y S I S: (C A S E S T U D Y: I R A N S T O C K M A R K E T)
Author(s):
Abstract:
People, during their lifetime, make investment decisions in various areas including real estate, gold, stocks, and bonds, and these decisions have an internal relationship between them that is unbreakable. The link between these decisions lies in the risks taken and the return on investments for the selected market. Decision making, with regard to investments, is one of the most difficult and complicated subjects in management and investment analysis. Generally speaking, an efficient portfolio is a portfolio with a specified return amount and the lowest possible risk level. The content of this article suggests that to find an efficient frontier, instead of using the Markowitz mean-variance (MV) model, we can use the Mean-Variance-Skewness model (MVS). This paper introduces a practical model for evaluation of an efficient portfolio based upon the MVS model using a Data Envelopment Analysis approach. The main idea of this approach is to evaluate the performance of a set of funds by taking into account expected returns, variance and skewness, and synthesizing them in a numerical value via an input oriented data envelopment analysis model. The DEA technique is a multi criterion decision making tool for making appropriate and sound decisions. In this technique, we can, at the same time as using some input and output variables, calculate and separate the efficiency of a set of efficient company stocks from inefficient ones. In addition, the optimal portfolio among the efficient companies can be determined using the information obtained. The high point of this research is efficient frontier generation through projecting the stocks on the frontier without actually generating the frontier at all, and then determining the efficiency of the stocks. As a case study, this model was implemented for the top 37 companies in Iran's stock markets. The results obtained from the model execution indicate that the stocks of three companies; Saipa, Alborz Daru and Tehran Cement, are the most appropriate for portfolio selection, due to their appropriateness of returns and variance of stocks, as well as their skewness positivity.
Keywords:
Language:
Persian
Published:
Industrial Engineering & Management Sharif, Volume:30 Issue: 1, 2014
Pages:
89 to 99
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