Comparative Study of Sea Wave Height Modeling Using Monte Carlo Methods and Fuzzy Logic

Considering the effect of wave on marine activities in Chabahar, different factors influencing the wave height were considered in the present study. For this purpose, the daily data of the year 2007-2011 and hourly data consisting of two month data of the year 2006 were employed. The results of the proposed method were compared with the results of the fuzzy logic based on PSO algorithm. The Monte Carlo method had a better performance for both hourly and daily data.So that R2, RMSE, d And MAE predict 0.941, 0.08, 0.9822 and 0.0545 for hourly prediction and 0.8499, 0.1878, 0.9499 and 0.1199 for daily forecasting respectively. also in prediction by Fuzzy logic based on PSO algorithm, this parameters is 0.911, 0.1065, 0.9647, 0.0698 for hourly prediction and 0.8316, 0.2225, 0.9109 and 0.1665 for daily prediction that show the high ability of Monte Carlo in wave height prediction in this Region.