Future Studies of Good Governance in Iran: A Scenario Approach

Over the past two decades, the study of good governance has been at the forefront of the world's scientific and international circles, especially in developing countries. It is argued that the path to development is due to the provision of quality governance in many countries. This study aims to write three scenarios about the future of good governance in Iran and to provide an analysis of the future by using scenario-writing as one of the methods of future studies. In this paper, by designing and criticizing three scenarios in the discussion, we examine the "past in the future" scenario using the time series analysis method; "Probability" scenario using a cross-impact analysis method; and The "optimistic" scenario based on the Iran’s twenty-year vision plan. The findings of the research in the first and second scenarios indicate that how much attention and importance should be paid to the indicators and their prioritization in order to promote the level of good governance in the country. The third scenario shows the distance and the rank of each country in the region based on the prospectus. At the end, suggestions are made for future research.