An Analysis of the Determinants of Wheat Production Risk in Gorgan County

Agriculture has always been a risky activity, and the first step in developing plans to face and overcome the risk is gleaning insight into the different types of risks and the risk factors. One of the risks faced in today’s agriculture sector is the production risk incurred by the inputs. The overarching goal of this research was to study the wheat production risk in Gorgan County, Iran, using the method proposed by using J-P (Just and Pope) approach. Data and information required for this research were obtained through stratified random sampling from 80 questionnaires completed in the 2015-2016 crop year. The estimation results suggested that with an increase in labor and farmers’ age, the production risk diminished, whereas the production risk escalated with an increase in the use of chemical fertilizers. Therefore, it is recommended to modify the usage pattern of this input to set the scene for the mitigation of the production risk of this crop in the region.