Compilation and Priority Assessment of Scenarios Affecting the Future of Sustainable Tourism inCompilation and Priority Assessment of Scenarios Affecting the Future of Sustainable Tourism in Kerman with the Futures studies Approach Kerman with the Futures studies Approach

This article has identified and compiled the future scenarios of tourism in Kerman in the perspective of 1410 with a future studies approach. The data has been developed with documentary and survey methods and in processing those from the Delphi method, structural analysis and Startup Wizard have been used. The statistical population includes fifteen scientific and executive elites of Kerman who, after the initial discussion sessions, weighing and identified 15 contingent status of the propellant factor in formulating scenarios.The results show that 80 percent of Kerman tourism situations in the future are favorable and 20 percent are stable and critical. Kerman city is facing three groups of tourism development scenarios in the future. The most desirable scenario is the first group, which is based on the foundation of competitiveness, axial plan and symmetrical development