Iran's Energy Supply Scenarios

Energy is central to the economic wellbeing and raising living standards and serves as the foundation of economic growth. Although Iran owns large fossil fuels resources and the potential for exploiting renewables, to maintain its bargaining power in the global energy markets Iran needs to investigate and in some cases follow energy system transformations. In this research mega-trends in the energy industries and market have been reviewed to develop alternative scenarios for Iran energy supply futures. Results showed that in mid-term natural gas will play the main role in power generation industry and it is unlikely that renewable energies replace fossil fuels based power generation share widely. Moreover, compared with western countries environmental concerns attract less attentions among experts and policymakers. Energy management meets not only deals with “what” to change it brings insight about “how” to manage desired changes. Consequently, energy management is a process that needs a multi-aspect approach. As a process aimed to manage changes, energy management needs to evaluate arising risks, limitations (especially associated with access to resources such as money, time, knowledge and etc.), and emerging opportunities due to changes in the energy systems.