Analysis of the effects of tourism development of second homes in the country Case study: Rudbar-e Qasran District of Shemiranat Township

The statistical population of the present study is rural households living in eight villages of Rudbar-e Qasran District, which is equal to 17,419 people according to the 2016 census. After identifying and designing the indicators, a questionnaire was prepared by using Cochran's formula, 310 villagers were selected as the sample population that by using random / systematic sampling method, the questionnaires were distributed among them and finally with using Friedman statistics, logistic regression and cluster analysis in SPSS software environment, the data were analyzed. The results of Friedman test illustrate that rural tourism in different physical, economic, social and cultural fields have a significant difference up to 99% confidence level. The results of logistic regression by using the forward selection method also illustrate that the variables of income and expenditure of rural households up to 99% confidence in the regression equation were examined and Wald Statistics represent the meaningful level of the variables in the regression equation. According to the results of the hierarchical cluster analysis test, the villages of the first cluster (Garmabdar, Zayegan, Lalan and Ab Nik villages) and the village of the second cluster (Ruteh) have the highest rank in the field of development of second homes tourism, respectively. The villages of the third cluster (Fard Abad and Sang Bon) and the fourth cluster (Labark), although they have many tourist attractions, they have a lower level of development in comparison to the villages of the first and second clusters.