Strategic plannnig of tourism development in historical contexts (Case study: central fabrics of Urmia city)

Urban tourism, accompanied by the future urban population growth, is a huge capacity to improve quality of life and simultaneously a serious challenge with regard to threats such as natural disasters. In recent decades, approaches to dealing with natural disasters to enhance the capacity of society have given rise to a new concept called urban resilience for better preparedness. To assess the resilience of Urmia's central fabrics against natural hazards, this study sought to provide a reliable conceptual framework for analyzing and assessing it in four social, economic, institutional and physical dimensions. The required data were collected using the fieldwork, desk-based research method and questionnaire, interview and observation tools. The collected data were analyzed quantitatively using SPSS, ARCGIS, VIKOR model, and descriptive and inferential statistics. The statistical community of research consisted of the citizens of the central part of Urmia. The sample size was determined 380 using the Cochran formula and was systematically distributed. Findings showed that the highest and lowest averages were relating to the economic) 3.3(and institutional (2.64) dimensions. As the average value of all dimensions was below the theoretical average (4), we can say that the historical fabrics of Urmia is not in a good status in terms of resilience indicators. The results of the VIKOR model revealed that neighborhood 7 was the most resilient to natural hazards. Moreover, in terms of physical resilience (AHP), more than 80% of the central texture's area had a low level of resilience and was vulnerable to probable natural hazards.