Analysis of the effects of climate change on military activities in Isfahan province based on the Misnard index based on future research scenarios

Message:
Article Type:
Research/Original Article (دارای رتبه معتبر)
Abstract:

Given the close relationship between military affairs and climate change, military organizations need to consider the potential effects of climate change in their future planning and design. In this study, in order to investigate the effects of climate change on military activities in Isfahan province, we used the simulated output of the hadGEM2-ES paired model from the CMIP5 model series, based on RCP 8.5 (pessimistic) and RCP 4.5 (optimistic) radiation induction scenarios. Has been. Also using Misnard Bioclimatic Climate Index (ET) and also using GIS software in interpolation, generalization of point-to-area data and combination of maps, times and places suitable for military activity in terms of body physiology in Isfahan province during a 20-year statistical period (2019-1999) and for the next period (2040-2059). Data analysis showed that September is mostly in the province in optimal conditions for military activity, which in the basic period is more than two scenarios pessimistic and optimistic. Based on the results obtained in the summer, the highlands and in the spring, the lowlands of the province have been selected for optimal military affairs, and in the winter and autumn (November and December) cold conditions prevail, which according to the data obtained from the amount in the pessimistic scenario, the Misnard index tends to the lower edge of the cold class.

Language:
Persian
Published:
Journal of Military Science and Tactics, Volume:18 Issue: 61, 2023
Pages:
5 to 26
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