An Analysis of the Aging Population of the Coastal Border Provinces of the Country and its Spatial Distribution

The purpose of the current research is to investigate and analyze the aging population of the coastal provinces of the country and its spatial distribution.The research method of the present study is a mixed method of descriptive-analytical, documentary and secondary analysis methods, and in terms of its objectives, this research is of an applied type. To analyze and evaluate the situation of the elderly in the coastal provinces of the country, the information and data of the census of 2015 have been used. Spatial analysis of the aging status of the studied area and its spatial distribution has been done using Arc GIS 10.8 software. The findings showed that according to the three-level index of the United Nations, Sistan and Baluchistan and Hormozgan provinces are young, Gilan and Mazandaran provinces are old and 3 other coastal provinces of the country are adults. Among the 7 coastal provinces of the country, Gilan province with 36.43 has the lowest total dependency ratio among the coastal provinces of the country. According to the elderly dependency ratio index, Gilan province has the highest dependency ratio of the elderly among the 7 coastal provinces of the country with 12.14. Out of 7 coastal provinces of the country, Sistan and Baluchistan province is facing aging of men and 6 other coastal provinces are facing aging of women. In terms of the old age coefficient or old age index, the provinces of Sistan and Baluchistan and Hormozgan are young, Gilan and Mazandaran provinces are old and 3 other coastal provinces of the country are adults. The results showed that the aging process of the population in the coastal provinces of the country is not the same, and some coastal provinces of the country are faster and some are slower. In general, the situation and spatial distribution of aging in the coastal provinces of the country is such that the most problem is in the coastal provinces of Gilan and Mazandaran, then in the coastal provinces of Golestan, Khuzestan and Bushehr, and in the last stage in the provinces of Sistan and Baluchistan and Hormozgan.