The Impact of Good Governance Indicators on the Occurrence of Civil Armed Conflict: A Study of Oil Exporting Countries

In this article, an attempt has been made to empirically examine the effect of institutional quality on the occurrence of civil armed conflicts in countries with oil revenues. For this purpose, the effect of good governance and its main components (as indicators of institutional quality measurement) along with the abundance of oil resources on the occurrence of civil armed conflict in 68 oil exporting countries during the period of 1995-2019 has been investigated. T Empirical results using the logit model show that during the period under review, the abundance of oil resources has a positive and significant effect and good governance indicators have a negative and significant effect on civil armed conflict. Meanwhile, in the presence of good governance indicators, the positive effect of abundance of oil resources on civil armed conflict is reduced. In addition, among the components that make up the good governance index, the transparency and political stability component compared to its other components has the greatest effect in reducing the occurrence of civil armed conflict, and as well as reducing the positive effect of the abundance of oil resources on civil armed conflict in the studied countries. Based on the experimental results obtained, the most important policy recommendation of this article is to provide the necessary platforms to fulfill the requirements of good governance in oil exporting countries in order to reduce the occurrence of civil conflicts and the political curse of natural resources.