The drivers of the possible military confrontation of the United States against the Islamic Republic of Iran in the West Asian region in the next 10 years

The confrontation and enmity of America against the Islamic Republic of Iran is one of the vital and important issues in international relations. This confrontation has wide-ranging effects on the West Asian region and even the international arena. After the Islamic Revolution of Iran in 1979, this confrontation appeared more widely. It has led to tensions, sanctions and even military conflicts. In this research, the researchers have investigated the drivers of the possible military confrontation of the United States against the Islamic Republic of Iran in the West Asian region in the next 10 years. The research method is based on the Qualitative-Quantitative approach and using the analysis of existing documents and Cross-impact analysis (CIA) with the help of MicMac software. In the first part of the research, with the help of library studies and using the opinions of experts, 12 main drivers affecting the possible military confrontation of the United States against the Islamic Republic of Iran were identified. In the second part, with the help of Cross-Impact Analysis Method (CIAM), the main key drivers were identified. The results show that based on the analysis of the results of the Matrix of Direct Influence (MDI) and the analysis of the Matrix of Indirect Influence (MII) of these drivers are: "Military Alliance", "Naval Conflict", "War Scope", "Military Power" and "Air Attacks". They have the greatest impact on the possible military confrontation of America against the Islamic Republic of Iran. They are among the most important drivers.