نشریه دانش انتظامی خراسان جنوبی
سال هشتم شماره 4 (پیاپی 31، زمستان 1398)

Climate change and global warming have been presented by security actors and political analysts on numerous occasions. Understanding the extent of these changes can be very effective in managers' decision-making for sustainable development. The purpose of this study was to investigate the relationship between climate change and security and sustainable development in eastern Iran (Southern Khorasan province). In order to determine the temperature changes in the coming period, daily data of minimum and maximum temperature of 11 synoptic stations of Southern Khorasan province were obtained from the Iranian Meteorological Organization during the period 1990–2015. The most recent existing scenarios, called RCP scenarios, were downloaded from the Canadian Climate Change Web site and retransmitted using SDSM statistical exponential data for the next period (2041-2016) in the study area. Finally, using the Kriging interpolation method, mean temperature zoning maps for baseline and future periods were plotted in ArcGIS software. Then, using MATLAB software programming, the annual average temperature trend of the stations in the province was calculated, the results of which show an increasing trend of temperature in the base and future periods. The average temperature increase in the optimistic, intermediate and pessimistic scenarios is 1.34, 1.45 and 1.2 ° C, respectively. Climate change, in addition to the loss of farmland and water scarcity, is affecting people's livelihoods and can cause poor people to smuggle goods and drugs or migrate to cities and become borderless and incarcerated. Security problems. In addition to specifying the extent of temperature changes, this paper proposes strategies to counter the destructive effects of climate change and achieve sustainable security and development in South Khorasan Province.

Transport plays an important role in social change and in areas with less access to the transportation system, there are many structural bottlenecks in the social development process. In this regard, the lack of access to transport is one of the most important obstacles in achieving the objectives of sustainable rural development. Security is a multifaceted concept, so there is much controversy about its meaning. Security can thus be divided into economic, political, cultural, environmental and military security. At present, every issue threatens issues on the eastern borders of Iran, including Southern Khorasan, such as Afghanistan, insecurity and (drug trafficking), conditions in Pakistan and so on. But the massive transport cycle will affect security, business capacities, employment, income and accumulation of physical, human and social capital and technology, and most importantly the sustainable rural development of the country's east. Due to the importance of transit and transportation development in the east of the country and the results that follow, the present study studies security, transportation and sustainable rural development and its role in the development of the eastern axis of the country including Southern Khorasan.

The model of development in Iran is very much in line with the axis-periphery model, which is referred to as the axis-periphery syndrome in this study. This difference is more pronounced between the eastern and southeastern provinces of the country with other provinces. The present study is a descriptive-analytic one, using library and documentary sources. The causal approach is to investigate and identify the causes and the underlying causes of this developmental syndrome, followed by appropriate pathology with appropriate therapeutic approaches. To provide treatment. The results showed that the single-structure model in the spatial distribution of fully concentrated power and function, which has dominated and has been dominated by the Iranian territorial body since the constitutional period, has played the most significant role in establishing and consolidating the development pattern. Axis - peripheral. In this regard, other factors such as geopolitical and geoeconomic factors such as oil phenomenon and rent economy and its monopoly product have contributed to the viability of centralized monopoly system. Many countries that have had this developmental syndrome have taken regional balance measures. In the case of Iran, efforts to achieve territorial justice, land preparation and decentralization are the most important therapeutic approaches to reforming peripheral development and achieving sustainable development and regional balance. In this regard, the development of the east axis with transit and rail transport axis could be the development version for the east of the country, especially the two provinces of Southern Khorasan and Sistan and Baluchistan as the least developed provinces in the country. It is also possible to see its developmental effects at various local, national and regional scales if the project's multiple capacities are realized.

Natural phenomena such as floods, earthquakes, storms, droughts, etc. are called "natural hazards" due to their negative impacts and damages on human life and life. One of the natural phenomena that some parts of the world and human societies such as Iran have always been concerned about is drought and its persistence. In fact, drought, unlike floods and earthquakes, has a wide range of functions, and secondly, it is very creepy and long-lasting and directly threatens the lives of human societies and the development and well-being of nations. The results also show that among the natural hazards, drought is the most common cause of damage. This descriptive-analytical study, based on credible library sources, seeks to answer the question of what consequences drought has on economic, social, environmental, and security dimensions. The research findings show that drought in the eastern half of the country, especially in the provinces of Southern Khorasan and Sistan and Baluchistan, which have fragile economic conditions due to adverse living conditions, has numerous economic, political and environmental consequences. The most significant of these negative consequences include the disappearance of farms and rangelands and the severe restriction of agricultural and livestock production, the elimination of the sole source of dependable rural income, unemployment, exacerbation of poverty and deprivation, exacerbation of crime and social anomaly, exacerbation of local conflict and strife, and Regional, forced rural-urban migration, the creation of security holes, desertification, drying up of rivers and lakes, sandstorms and destruction of ecosystems and loss of wildlife and so on. Climate change also seems to have an effect on the persistence of droughts in some areas of Iran in the coming years.

The need to make changes in the process and methods of preparing urban development plans with emphasis on long-term and strategic attitudes as well as short-term executive attitudes was highlighted as the adverse effects of traditional designs were revealed. One of the new perspectives that plays an active and purposeful role in the development of cities is the New Design (CDS). The need for this plan is to achieve the concepts of sustainable and balanced development with an emphasis on identifying the strengths and potentials for development across all cities. The purpose of this paper is to analyze the position of the four CDS indices (competitiveness, viability, banking, and good urban governance). The research method is descriptive-analytical which uses a researcher-made questionnaire to measure the mentioned indexes. The population of the study consists of two groups of experts and citizens, which were completed in simple random order. The results after Kolomogorov Smirnov test and SWOT method and also confirm the hypotheses indicate that the city of Qain is in competitive position in terms of CDS model indices. Priority is given to access to knowledge based and industrial city. Therefore, given the current situation and potential with regard to Qain's strategic location and products, it is necessary to provide the authorities and managers with the opportunity to develop and implement this new plan and its indicators. Urbanization and identifying stakeholder and stakeholder groups are essential to achieve the desired outcome.

An overview can reveal the weak position of borderland areas in comparison to central regions of the national and regional development process. For these reasons, geographical isolation of border regions can be achieved. Avoid industrial-economic poles and underdevelopment in various social dimensions. Political and cultural enumeration. The existence of such issues in the border areas has led countries to take steps to tackle the various issues arising from the backwardness in the aforementioned areas in the form of border markets, which is one of the most popular methods of economic development of the border areas. Geographical and geopolitical features in the east of the country and located along the north-south and east-west corridors as well as having a wide border with Afghanistan (having 331 kilometers in common with it) of high potential and potential in developing trade exchanges the country enjoys. The province has long been important in terms of being on the Silk Road for trade and trade, and Iranian merchants have always provided the essential commodities needed by its neighbors on the border with the country. The existence of rich, pristine mines Metallic and non-metallic minerals and ores and other valuable export minerals, strategic agricultural products such as saffron, jujube and barberry and medicinal plants, suitable target market in Afghanistan, proximity to safe routes compared to other entry points To this country and close to some of the major cities of Afghanistan with Air It has provided the province with a privileged position in developing trade with Afghanistan. In addition to the above shared cultural background, the strong ethnic, linguistic, and religious sharing of the Iranian people with Afghanistan is one of the strengths of the business relationship. Having a proper and up-to-date business strategy, along with the province's special position, can help the country achieve its national goals and accelerate it.