نشریه مطالعات راهبردی جهان اسلام
سال بیست و یکم شماره 3 (پیاپی 83، پاییز 1399)

Syria is of geopolitical importance and strategic role in the strategic region of West Asia due to its geopolitical position and being located on the eastern shore of the Mediterranean Sea, having 581 km of coastline and borders with occupied Palestine, Lebanon, Turkey, Jordan and Iraq. Therefore, many developments in the West Asian region cannot be explained and analyzed without considering the role and position of Syria. Accordingly, the American theorist on the importance of Syria says: "No peace is possible in the region without Syria and no war without Egypt." Syria's geographical position is such that it provides the ground for geographical connectivity between Iran, Iraq and Lebanon and is a link between this chain, and this issue has given this country an important role and position in the eyes of the Islamic Republic of Iran and because of its support for the Axis of Resistance, this country is referred to as the "backbone of the Axis of Resistance." Following the crisis in Syria, as a strategic ally of Iran in many issues in the region, the Islamic Republic entered Syria as a supporter of this country and took steps to support it in various political, military, security, economic and media fields.

The Statements of the Supreme Leader in a meeting with Ansarullah's spokesman in 1398, who said: "Thank God, the Yemenis will form a strong government", not only show the importance of Yemen and the Ansarullah movement for the Islamic Republic of Iran, but also his emphasis on Fixing the problem of power vacuum in Yemen through the formation of a strong government with remarkable potential. The existence of such a government can bring more peace and security to the people and the revolution in Yemen, and cut off the hands of the aggressors from this country. Also, the formation of a strong government in Yemen led by Ansarullah can increase the interactions of this current at the regional and international levels and provide the grounds for ending the crisis in this country as soon as possible. Accordingly, the study the possibilities and obstacles to forming a strong government in Yemen and the forthcoming scenarios can provide a clear picture of Yemen's future. Given the current situation in Yemen, Ansarullah, on the one hand, in his plans as a political movement, has considered the formation of a government and its presence in this institution, and on the other hand, the process of actions and movements of this group over the past few years clearly shows progress of the political process on the way to consolidating Ansarullah in Yemen. However, the question now is which model of government will ultimately be in line with the field reality and the interests of Ansarullah in the medium and long term? In this regard, the forthcoming article is devoted the possibility of forming a strong government in Yemen in its various dimensions, but to address this issue, the existing requirements and limitations have been carefully considered.

The axis of resistance in the new situation of the West Asian region, has faced crises and special issues in various fields. In the current situation, issues such as the Yemeni civil war, the situation of Hezbollah in Lebanon and the world arena, the normalization of relations between the Arabs and the Zionist regime, the Syrian crisis and the West Bank annexation issue are among the priority issues of the resistance actors. However, attracting the cooperation and involvement of regional powers in the direction of macro-strategies of the resistance to crisis areas is extremely important. In the meantime, assessing the capabilities of the neighboring actor, who has a history of cooperation with Iran, has strong public diplomacy and, most importantly, has a good influence on the regional equations, seems logical and necessary to align with the interests and policies of the resistance. Ankara's entry into regional subjects in a way that is strategically associated with the axis of resistance can be effective in changing the equations in favor of this axis and cause the defeat of the opposition.

"Wave, Awakening and Islam" are three words that form the main framework of this research conceptually. So in the first place we need to know what is the nature and source of the wave. What does the wave do and from what power sources? The second step is to get acquainted with the concept of awakening and the third step is to know the word Islamic. Therefore, the conceptual origin of these words is the beginning of these concepts in the analysis of the second wave in the turbulent environment of the region and the world. Another important point is that the basis of analysis of events and phenomena is based on semantics. It is natural that the humanities go back to the approaches and attitudes of individuals. If we want to conceptualize the Islamic awakening of the past, we must consider a conceptual change from the first wave of the Islamic awakening to the second wave. In the semantics of the first wave, the problem was that no one knew what this congenital evolution was like: the Islamic Awakening, the Arab Spring or ...? The difference in the words was due to the lack of a proper analysis of the phenomenon. In the events of 2011, those who did not want to give this change an Islamic flavor used the term "Arab Spring", which had a secular look with a purely social analysis.

The sum of the actions and activities of the Al-Kazemi government and the arrangement of some individuals and personalities, structural change, "creation of a special discourse", have all greatly changed the weight of Iraq's previous equations and, therefore, attention to current planning and policies in terms of level, size, Quality and quantity are essential. Although, according to some experts, the Al-Kazemi government is naturally seeking to balance foreign policy among influential countries in Iraq and does not intend to create a wave against the interests of the Islamic Republic of Iran and the axis of resistance, but due to US pressure to "weaken" And reducing the influence of the Islamic Republic of Iran on the Iraqi scene "The current trend cannot be viewed with optimism. The bottom line is that al-Kazemi, or any other person as Iraqi prime minister and politician, cannot ignore the Iraqi people's desire for the Islamic Republic of Iran, just as he cannot ignore US influence on various issues in Iraq. Therefore, it is trying to strike a balance between the two in Iraq.

Communication with the people, in parallel with communication with governments, is one of the components of Iran's foreign policy. In fact, due to its religious and ideological nature, the Islamic Republic, in addition to its relationship with the governments, has put communication with the people on the agenda. The interests and national security of the Islamic Republic require that it establish stable security within its borders. Most of Iran's borders with Afghanistan are Pashtun. Due to its proximity to Afghanistan, it is necessary to have good relations with the Pashtun people and their capacities should be used and not allowed to give this potential to the enemy. Therefore, the importance of communication and interaction with the Pashtuns is not hidden from anyone. Iran must change its approach and work with the Pashtun people in accordance with the new conditions. The Pashtuns must once again be defined in the field of civilization of the Islamic Republic of Iran. To do this, it is first necessary to make a kind of genealogy of the Pashtun people and write a strategy based on it. Out of three categories of Pashtuns, including moderate parties and personalities, extremist parties and personalities, technocratic and Western parties and personalities, the Islamic Republic has tried to interact with each of them; but it must change its approach and move towards the people and the body of the Pashtun people. Naturally, it is not possible to have same recommendation for these three categories, and it is necessary to plan according to the classification and in accordance with each Pashtun party, group and current. Given the new situation in Afghanistan, the Taliban should be seen in the most optimistic state, in the government, and in the most pessimistic state, the government itself.