نشریه پدافند غیر عامل و امنیت
پیاپی 31 (تابستان 1399)

The geopolitics of West Asia has undergone profound changes over the past two decades, following the US invasion of Afghanistan and Iraq, the developments of the Arab Spring and the Syrian crisis. The growing crises in West Asia, such as identity crises, weak, undemocratic, and even dependent governments, proxy conflicts, ethnic, religious, and territorial crises, reflect the geopolitical structure of West Asia and its transformations. Under these circumstances, US intervention has brought about profound changes in the geopolitics of West Asia. On the other hand, the entry of international actors such as Russia into the West Asian scene has further complicated the situation, and with Putin's rise to power in Russian domestic politics and the growing role of Russia in world politics, West Asian geopolitics has been strongly influenced by Russia-US strategy. Is located. Accordingly, in accordance with the theoretical framework of structuralist realism, this study analyzes the geopolitical situation in West Asia to some extent influenced by the structure of the international system and the geopolitical structure of West Asia. In this context, this article seeks to answer the question of how the US-Russian political-security strategy has affected the geopolitics of West Asia. The findings of the descriptive-analytical study show that the US-Russian political-security strategy in West Asia in the last two decades has intensified geopolitical rivalries, shifted the balance of power, strengthened the role of transnational actors in the region and redistributed power structure. Inside West Asian countries.

The aim of this study was to enumerate the role of injuries and threats caused by depopulation on military security. This research has been applied in terms of type and descriptive-survey in terms of method. The statistical population of this study is all experts in the Statistics Organization who have a master's degree or higher and the Armed Forces based in Tehran, including the Army, IRGC, NAJA, General Staff of the Armed Forces (DAA) and the Ministry of Defense in the neighborhoods of the second brigade and above Or have a master's degree or higher. The total statistical population is 369 people. To determine the sample size, Cochran's sample size formula was used, which finally analyzed 188 people. The sampling method in this study is stratified random. The data collection tool in this research is a questionnaire. Data analysis confirmed the main hypothesis of the research. Findings showed that there is a significant relationship between independent and dependent variables. The results confirm that the population is aging and lethargic, weakening the country's defense force, reducing the young force in the armed forces, reducing military power, reducing national power and endangering national security in the field of injuries and reducing offensive power, reducing power Deterrence, risk reduction for hostile countries, reduction of threat neutralization power, population control / colonial policy, reduction of national security and global authority, widespread weakening of Iran's political and military authority in the field of threats and are among the harms and threats of population reduction in the field It is military security.

Given that infectious diseases are often associated with the geographical area of ​​countries, this factor can be studied under the title of political geography; Because geographical space and human actions are among the most important components of this science, Quaid 19 disease is also directly related to these two factors and has had a high impact on geographical spaces from the perspective of domestic and foreign policy. The present article examines the consequences and future effects of the corona outbreak on the status of political systems and the strategies for advancing actors in the face of different scenarios. The present research is descriptive-analytical in terms of purpose, application and type of research method. The method of collecting data and information is library, documentary and survey; In which the opinions of 10 experts in political geography, geopolitics and political science have been used. Data analysis is based on futures research techniques, including interaction analysis. In this study, for 5 key factors, a total of 25 cases (uncertainty) have been considered. The results obtained from the Wizard Scenario software show that there are 7 scenarios with strong and probable compatibility, 386 scenarios with poor compatibility and 96 inconsistent scenarios of future progress. Have had. Out of 7 possible scenarios, scenarios 6 and 7 had favorable status, scenarios 1, 2 had unfavorable status and scenarios 5.4.3 also had intermediate status. In the last part, the proposed strategies for the actors for the leading situations and scenarios were: improving and strengthening the political structures and internal and external relations of the actors for a favorable future, adjusting the responsibilities of the actors and their internal and external relations for Semi-critical situation, change and replacement of the new political system in case of critical situation.

Given the country's threats and sensitive situations, civilian preparedness and defense are of paramount importance, necessitating passive defense training. The purpose of this study is regression analysis of factors affecting the effective training of passive defense of education in Iran country. The present research is a survey type. Also, since the results of this research can be used in practice, it is also an applied research. The statistical population of the research is the teachers of secondary defense training in the second year of Shahriar city in the 98-97 academic year who Contains 99 people. Census method was used to increase maximum accuracy. Data collection tool is a researcher-made questionnaire. The content and face validity of the questionnaire were confirmed by the expert opinion of relevant experts. To determine the reliability of the preliminary test was used, Cronbach's alpha coefficient was calculated for different parts of the questionnaire and finally Cronbach's alpha was 0.92. Data analysis was performed using SPSS software. The results of Pearson correlation coefficient showed that there is a significant relationship between evaluation factors, lesson plan, and educational materials and media with effective training of passive defense of the country's education. The results of stepwise regression analysis showed that evaluation factors, lesson plan, and educational materials and media explained 67% of the changes in the dependent variable.

The purpose of this study is to provide a model for measuring food security variables in the Islamic Republic of Iran. In this research, a combination of qualitative and quantitative methods has been used. So that in order to identify food security variables, a set of literature and documents on food safety were reviewed using qualitative content analysis method and a set of variables were identified and categorized. These variables were then provided to 40 experts in a questionnaire and they were asked to evaluate the impact of each variable on food security. Finally, the weight of food security constructs was calculated based on Shannon entropy method. Dynamic panel data method and GMM were also used to measure the effect of the detected variables on food safety. Based on the results of this section; Three indicators: cumulative household food security, food insecurity and food diversity in the Islamic Republic of Iran were identified as indicators for measuring food security. In total, the research findings identified 23 variables for measuring food security in the country, and these variables can be classified into three categories: availability and access to food, economic ability to purchase and select food, health and sustainability In receiving food. Finally, by determining the weight of each variable and also the weight of each category in creating food security, the final model for measuring food security in the country has been obtained.