نشریه آینده پژوهی انقلاب اسلامی
سال چهارم شماره 3 (پیاپی 14، پاییز 1402)

The contemporary transformations in the West Asian region indicate the increasing potential of strategic transformations in the future of the region, which inevitably affect the actors and political units in this regional system. On this basis and with regard to the principle of preventing strategic surprises as well as early awareness of the opportunities and threats ahead in the security environment of the Islamic Republic of Iran, it is important to monitor these transformaations. In order to find a comprehensive framework for monitoring strategic transformations in this region, the present research expresses two basic question of how to view and analyze the dynamics of transformations; and also the important components and indicators for monitoring developments. In response to the first question, five security subsystems based on security interdependence derived from Bozan's security set theory were identified. In response to the second question, 51 components to monitor the security environment of the Islamic Republic in the West Asia region were obtained. This research, with a qualitative approach, has used documents and library studies to collect data and has used a descriptive analytical method to achieve the results of the research.

After the fall of Saddam and the collapse of the Ba'ath regime in 2003, the Arbaeen walk gathering, which had continued in all the years of the rule of the anti-Shia governments in Iraq, despite all the restrictions and obstacles, was held again with an ever-increasing scope. It is clear that based on the logic governing the knowledge of international relations, phenomena with these dimensions must be explained as a global event within the framework of this modern knowledge. None of the existing theoretical approaches can adequately explain this global event that has integrated multiple identities under the semantic system created by the intersection of "holy reason" and "true love". Although this deficiency is clearly visible in the mainstream approaches of international relations, it can also be seen in the middle, critical and protest approaches. Although an attempt has been made to solve this shortcoming in the middle, critical and protesting approaches, the fact is that on the one hand, due to the vacuum of attitude towards the component of "reason" and the reduction of the understanding of subjects in the form of "instrumental reason" and finally "conventional reason" and Neglecting "Holy Wisdom" and on the other hand due to the fact that this knowledge is devoid of mystical approaches and neglecting the component of "true love", the need to rethink the theory of international relations for a better understanding of the future world is fully felt.

After the collapse of the former Soviet Union, the United States introduced itself as the first power in the world and was able to gain a dominant position in the international arena with significant superiority in the political, military and economic fields, but currently, signs based on the political decline of this country are visible. Is. Therefore, the current research, with the future-oriented method of layer-by-layer analysis of the causes and in an exploratory way, seeks to identify the causes of the decline of American power in the geometry of the new world order. The research is of mixed applied type (qualitative and quantitative) and its data has been collected by reviewing documents, documents and library studies as well as interviews by holding two expert panels. The research approach is to use the future research method of layered analysis of causes. The results of interviews and qualitative studies were considered in the form of a researcher-made questionnaire at the disposal of a community of 73 experts. The collected data were analyzed using statistical methods and SPSS software. The findings of the research showed 47 causes, of which 17 causes are at the level of litany, 10 are at the level of causal systems (social, economic and cultural), 11 are at the level of discourse and worldview, and finally 9 are at the level of metaphors and myths. which are considered as the effective causes of the decline of American power in the geometry of the new world order.

Philosophy of religion is a science that examines various issues of religion. Until now, the future of religion, as a new issue in this knowledge, has not been given much attention. On the other hand, investigating this new field (the future of religion) is an interdisciplinary study between the philosophy of religion and futurism. The main problem of this research is that the philosophy of religion in the eyes of two Islamic and Western thinkers, according to their view on the relationship between reason and faith, how can it answer the basic questions of religion in the future, for this purpose, a comparative-critical view between the view of Motahari’s and We took Plantinga’s. The research method is valid by referring to his works and scientific and research sources. Then, with the method of document analysis, due to its focus on relationships and analysis of causes, we rationally adapt Plantinga's and Motahari's views and criticize them. The results of this research show that both thinkers have weaknesses in their thought system and we have shown that there are already serious questions about the criterion of the authenticity of religion and there will be more in the future. that the solution depends on: 1- raising basic issues and trying to answer them, 2- reasonableness of belief, 3- moving towards dialogic theology, and 4- giving authenticity to the knowing subject; is.

The sharing of human beings in creation and talent and various factors in the stages of growth and education causes that the ability of reasoning, the growth path and the power of analysis and decision of people are not the same. And since the merits of individuals are different from each other in various matters, from the point of view of Islam, each person should be placed in a position that he deserves, and among the merits, the one who is the most worthy is preferred and foremost. It is obvious that the commanders and managers of the armed forces of the Islamic Republic of Iran should be transformed, excelled, and lead as worthy of the domain of Islamic values, because the realization of an important part of high human and divine values ​​in the field of holy defense depends on the outstanding abilities and merits of the sincere commanders and managers of the armed forces. It is the Islamic Republic of Iran. Therefore, it is necessary for the valuable and scholarly commanders and managers of the armed forces to realize the important and divinely assigned mission and to create organizational skills in themselves and to lead the organization of the armed forces towards a visionary, flexible, light, agile, dynamic and dedicated organization. The missions are related to the protection of the Islamic revolution. The main goal of this qualitative research is to design a model of the ideal image of the command in the future in the cultural organizations of the armed forces of the Islamic Republic of Iran based on the method of deliberation in the Holy Quran. For this purpose, the components of the desired image of the commander in the future were identified and extracted based on the method of contemplation in the Holy Quran.

The current research has followed the comparative investigation of the future studies of the political dimension of good governance in the ummah-imamate system and the liberal democracy system. In this research, the point of view of the liberal democracy system and the point of view of the ummah-imamate system about the political dimension of good governance have been examined in a comparative or comparative method, and the similarities and differences of the two systems have been extracted and explained in this regard. The findings showed that although the term good governance has been proposed in recent years in political gatherings, this concept has received the attention and approval of Islam centuries ago, and it is more interesting that the indicators of desirable governance have been proposed more accurately and comprehensively in Islam. The results showed that there are similarities between good governance from the point of view of the liberal democracy system (West) and good governance with the approach of the ummah-imamate system (Islam), but these two categories have serious and deep differences with each other, which are the most important and fundamental These differences are the one-dimensionality (materiality) of good governance in the West and the two-dimensionality (materiality and divineness) of good governance with an Islamic approach.