Analysis of Factors Affecting on Change of Agricultural Land Control in Iran: Use of Fuzzy Cognitive Maps Based on Experts Opinion

The present quantitative-qualitative study tries to identify the stimuli that affect the change of agricultural lands control. The data were collected with; depth unstructured individual interviews, focus groups, group discussion with 32 landlords and direct observations. These data were coded using the conventional content analysis method and finally 40 key concepts were extracted related to effective stimuli. Then, the identified concepts in the form of a questionnaire were given to the cases of study. Data were collected and converted to fuzzy numbers according to the type and intensity of the effect. In the next step, the matrix was implemented obtained in Mental Modeler software and the corresponding fuzzy cognitive map was designed. The results showed that the most important stimuli in changing agricultural land control are: Landlord age, uncertainty about fixed income, landlord quality of life, land consolidation and strict rules for tenants. Also, according to the results, the most important Impressionable stimuli in changing the control of arable lands include; agricultural risks, youth migration, production unit cost and inefficiency of government agencies. According to the research results, planners and policymakers are advised to provide more facilities for young people in rural areas due to the importance of owner age in changing the control of agricultural lands, and by empowering and skills of young people and familiarizing them with income-generating crops. He encouraged them to stay in the village and create attractions.