Validation of the Atmosphere-Ocean General Circulation Model (AOGC) in Simulating Temperature in Kerman

Message:
Abstract:
Climate change is one of the most important challenges of mankind in the 21st century. Numerous climatic models have been developed to simulate and project the probabilities in changing climatic variables. Because of the uncertainty involved in using different models, simulations results were validated and the best of them for each variable was determined. In this study, simulation results of temperature parameters from 22 General Circulation Models, which have been approved by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climatic Change (IPCC), were evaluated for validity using the statistical criteria. It was observed that BCM2.0,CM3.0, INM, and AOM were appropriate for the minimum temperature prediction; HadGEM,ECHO, and G-Mk3.0 were useful for the mean temperature prediction; and PCM,Mk3.0, and AOM were appropriate for the maximum temperature prediction.
Language:
Persian
Published:
Water Engineering, Volume:4 Issue: 9, 2012
Page:
51
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