فصلنامه راهبرد
پیاپی 106 (بهار 1402)

Artificial intelligence as an evolving technology, great economic and social benefits have been drawn for the future. This technology can be created in the way of life, work, learning, discovery and revolution. This research has been conducted with future research and the aim of drawing scenarios for the future of Iran's labor market with the emergence of artificial intelligence the horizon of 2032. The current research is applied in terms of its purpose and in terms of its nature and method, it is an exploratory description based on a qualitative approach in order to conceptualize and provide analysis. The methods of gathering information and the method of analysis and analysis included the examination of scientific and specialized libraries, brainstorming, news panels, and the use of future research methods such as the future cycle, stakeholder analysis, and the global business network scenario model. Using the combination of these methods, 9 actors, 52 drivers and four uncertainties were identified, and as a result of the interaction of uncertainties, 16 uncertain states were created, which were finally drawn with the approval of experts, 5 plausible scenarios. These five scenarios, which were named "smart service", "monopoly", "sarafa world", "destructive competition" and "markets", can be used to help policy making in the field of market and work in this field.

Riots, protests, developments and social changes in every country are very important for the political-social structure of the countries. In Iran, the aforementioned developments are also of special importance. In this regard, different countries through their media are trying to reflect the ruling views in a way that on the one hand is considered a form of media and discourse diplomacy and on the other hand is effective in building a discourse. The study of world media is important to discover the methods of discourse formation in relation to the disturbances of 1401 in Iran due to their influence in building national, regional and global mentality in their fields of activity.Based on the discourse theory and the Practical Discourse Analysis Method (PDAM), the article is trying to discover the discourse and in fact the discourse diplomacy governing Al Jazeera network in Qatar due to its regional and global importance in this field by analyzing the 7 news reports that it published at the beginning of the unrest in Iran.The research achieved important results, the most important of which are: making the system oppose human rights, globalizing Iran's protests, and creating hope for the success of protests in Iran.

In a general view, Media Literacy refers to the abilities necessary to exploit the beneficial capacities of the media and create security against the unwanted consequences of the media. The purpose of the present research is to identify the most important strategies for institutionalizing the future of media literacy in the country and to create a clear understanding for the policy makers of the media field to prepare in advance and help make the most rational decisions in this field. The research method is scenario planning and theoretical framework is James Potter's theory. The findings of the research indicate the highlighting of factors such as "the attachment of Media Literacy to laws and policies", "the coordination of Media Literacy education with scientific institutions", "the use of Media Literacy experts in government policy making", "the operational view of managers towards Media Literacy as one of the skills vital of life", "accreditation of radio and television to the audience" and as a result of identifying two critical uncertainties of "audience-centeredness" and "elitism" and shaping the logic of scenarios that research strategies will be formed from the interaction of these two factors.

The present study aims to answer this question, what are the themes of dealing with corruption in Iran's administrative system, and in this regard, seven documents related to the issue of corruption in Iran were identified, and the researcher, by carefully examining and studying these documents, first counted the related concepts and the integration of concepts that had a common semantic load, paid attention to the explanation of the main themes and then the organizing and inclusive themes. The current research is fundamental in terms of its purpose, in terms of the method of qualitative research, which can be included in interpretive research, and in terms of strategy, thematic analysis method was used, and the method of data collection was through the study and review of documents. Based on the findings of the research, the number of 52 concepts, 18 main themes, 13 organizing themes and 7 comprehensive themes regarding the fight against corruption were explained and then the network of themes that shows the relationship between the fundamental concept on which the research is based and the inclusive and organizing themes, was designed.

Zayandeh-Roud basin has been one of the most challenging basin in the country in recent years. Challenges that cover various fields of political, social, economic, security, etc and has focused attention on how water governance in this basin. Based on this, in the present study, the structure of water governance in Chahar Mahal and Bakhtiari province has been investigated using the network analysis method. The current research, while counting the activists in the form of 21 groups, has tried to answer the question that each of the activists of the water governance network in the Zayandeh-Roud basin, what position and role do they have in the water governance system?. Because governance requires the participation of all stakeholders. To answer this question, the research data was analyzed using the value components index in the UCINET software to identify two networks of influence and information exchange. The results of the research indicate that the position of each of the actors counted in the mentioned networks is not proportional to the concept of water governance in its network form. And on the other hand, it draws an opaque and inefficient structure, the output of which is weakness in the management of water resources and dissatisfactions and social, political and security challenges. An overview of the research findings has also been drawn using Netdraw software.

The environment of most industries has become more uncertain and the growing uncertainty has led human resource planning to new approaches, including foresight. Iran's banking industry also needs to foresee its human resources development based on scenarios in order to face alternative futures and build a favorable future. Therefore, the current research was carried out with the aim of drawing scenarios for the development of human resources in the banking industry of Iran with the approach of mutual effect analysis, which in terms of practical purpose, in terms of mixed nature, and in terms of the implementation path, includes survey steps, mutual influence analysis matrix and scenario development method. The statistical sample of the current research includes experts who are academically or experimentally specialized in at least one of the three fields of foresight, human resource development, or banking, and have relative familiarity with the other two fields. Identification of experts was done with the help of "snowball technique" and continued until the data reached theoretical saturation. The Delphi method was used to identify the drivers of human resources development in the banking industry based on the opinions of experts. Based on the compatibility analysis of different states of key factors in the Scenario Wizard software, the feasibility of four scenarios with strong internal consistency was shown, and these scenarios were named and described. At the end of the research, suggestions were presented to the managers and trustees of the Iranian banking industry.