جستجوی مقالات مرتبط با کلیدواژه "gasoline consumption" در نشریات گروه "اقتصاد"

One of the major problems in budgeting is to predict the various kinds of future income precisely as possible. Since tax revenue is very important component in the combination of state income, the present paper considers the forecasting of VAT on gasoline consumption. The main purpose is to achieve an efficient method to forecast gasoline consumption and VAT on it in Iran. Hence, a Hybrid ARIMA- Neural Network model is used to forecast gasoline consumption. After confirming the good performance of this method compared with autoregressive integrated moving average processes(ARIMA), VAT on gasoline consumption is calculated by applying its tax rate. Results indicate that during the years 2013 to 2016, VAT on gasoline consumption will grow by 31.6 percent on average.

This paper mainly focuses on evaluating economic effects of subsidized gasoline on its consumption in Iran. Using time series data for the period of time "through 1971-2003", simultaneous equation model is estimated applying I3SLS. Evaluating results indicate that there has been a positive and striking relationship between gasoline subsidy and consumption: An increase about 1٪ in subsidy has increased the consumption about 069٪ (percent). Each consumption and subsidy equation explains approximately 99٪ (percent) of the consumption and subsidy flexibility. Therefore, based on the same consumption equation, the fixed and also the least consumption become e75188. In other words, for an increase about 1٪ (percent) in gasoline subsidy, the consumption rate will increase up to 069٪ (percent). A 1٪ (percent) increases in gasoline consumption causes 077٪ (percent) increases in gasoline subsidy rate. To sum up, the increase in subsidy during the mentioned period is the main reason for gasoline consumption rate. Based on our findings, it is concluded that by implementing the guided subsidy policy in the Iran’s 4th economic, social and cultural plan and also in the 20 years economic outlook package through reduceing consumption, using effectively and saving financial resources by government, we can expect more favorable economic impact.