جستجوی مقالات مرتبط با کلیدواژه « environmental scanning » در نشریات گروه « مدیریت »

The main goal of this research is to analyze the Megatrends in the field of Education and learning that affect the future of defense universities and explain their consequences.The type of research is applied in terms of its purpose and in terms of its nature, it is part of exploratory research, which was conducted in two phases using the environmental monitoring method and the cycle model. Research sources for the first phase include; scientific texts related to the subject of research, interviews and reports published in publications and media are about megatrends and the method of selecting sources was necessary and available. The statistical population for the second phase was 10 experts in the field of study who were selected in a targeted way.The results of the research indicate that the megatrends affecting the future of defense higher education institutions are: expansion of informal education, change of approach from education to learning, interdisciplinary science, predominance of combined education over traditional and electronic education, continuous education and learning. Internationalization of universities, increasing the social responsibility of universities, reducing the ration of universities from government budgets, expanding skill-oriented and reducing the value of academic degrees. Conclusion The results of this research enable the policy makers of defense higher education to better predict the future changes by analyzing the megatrends identified and in this way create a long-term strategy in the field of academic functions that is not reactive but actively and consciously planned.

The existence of uncertainties, complexities, and ambiguity is one of the structural features of the tobacco industry for the country's planners in the current era. Traditional planning and strategy tools are no longer appropriate in such a situation. Therefore, the aim of the current research is environmental scanning of the factors affecting the strategic foresight of the tobacco industry in Iran. In fact, this research seeks to answer the question of which environmental factors can be effective in achieving the desired future of the Iranian tobacco industry. Environmental scanning is one of the methods of strategic foresight which is to identify, understand, evaluate, and prioritize responses to environmental issues and changes. The purpose of environmental scanning is to give a timely warning to the decision-makers so that they have enough time to react appropriately. The current research is pragmatic in terms of philosophical basis, exploratory in terms of purpose, and applied-development in terms of orientation. The theoretical community of the research is experts and senior managers of the tobacco industry and academic experts selected by judgmental sampling. To scan the environmental factors affecting the strategic foresight of the tobacco industry, in the first step, 66 environmental factors were counted through a systematic review of the research background using the Meta-synthesis method and interviews with industry experts, and then the most important ones were identified using the Delphi method. The 28 screened drivers of the future of Iran's tobacco industry were categorized into economic, individual, and psychological, smuggling, technological, political and legal, social, governance, environmental, health, and marketing groups.

The general object of this study was the environmental scanning of Sections quad Iran's sports based on the STEEPELD model and analysis of key driving forces consequences by future wheel method. The present research is in terms of applied purpose, mixed in terms of nature, and in terms of implementation path, survey and brainstorming. The statistical population were faculty members of sports management with associate degrees and higher who were selected by combined sampling. To adjust the environmental factors and analyze their impact, a 61-item questionnaire with convergent validity (0.622) and composite reliability coefficient (0.868) was used, which was analyzed using Friedman test, structural equation modeling (PLS) and panel of experts. According to the research results, economic transparency and control in educational sport, economic stability and security in sport for all, infrastructure development in championship sport and international restrictions such as sanctions in professional sport, had the highest impact factor whose consequences were investigated with 24 components in the first, 22 components in the second and 19 components in the third place. Therefore, analyzing the impact of the identified key driving forces of the research can provide a more suitable image of the future of Iranian sports on the horizon of 2025 to eliminate, adjust or develop the strategies of sports organizations.

A significant competitive advantage for organizations is the ability to recognize and capture the tacit knowledge of experts in the conventional practice of environmental scanning. The purpose of this study is to provide a framework that can be used with the help of expert tacit knowledge to identify organizational opportunities and threats. Therefore, the present study is based on the content analysis and interpretive approach to this issue. For this purpose, in-depth interviews with experts are conducted until the theoretical saturation is reached to identify SWOT defects. Therefore, 21 codes were obtained as SWOT defects using interview analysis, which is categorized with an open approach and then with a pivotal method (content analysis). Then, in-depth interviews are conducted with experts to provide solutions and tools to eliminate and prevent the identified shortcoming of current models, finally, with interpretive analysis of the interviews, a framework for acquiring the tacit knowledge of experts is provided. The actions in this framework consist of three stages: pre-interview, interview and post-interview. The proposed framework introduces solutions and tools to realize the expert tacit knowledge and identify the external environment at each phase. Therefore, the tacit knowledge of experts can be achieved to identify opportunities and threats by appliying the proposed framework. The proposed framework of the present study can be considered by organizational planners to provide better scanning of the environment.

Iran's confrontation with various economic sanctions has had many consequences and issues that make the need for scientific research in this field more and more clear. Paying attention to the vulnerabilities of economic sanctions, taking measures to deal with them and ways to get out of the pressure of sanctions, especially in recent years, have become increasingly important. Security and tourism are two interrelated categories. Whereas the tourism industry, as a parent industry, on the one hand, plays an important role in job creation and economic development, and on the other hand, its prosperity and development play a significant role in countering sanctions, in resilience to its negative effects, and in increasing security and passive defense, in the present study, it is tried to first identify the vulnerabilities of economic sanctions with a futuristic approach and then, considering the capabilities of the tourism industry in Iran, to provide solutions in this field. The statistical population of this study consists of experts in the tourism industry and related industries, including the hotel industry, tourism service companies, and travel agencies, which were sampled by snowball and judgment. Thematic analysis, environmental scanning and Delphi method have been used to collect data while using library studies. The results of this study, while identifying and introducing the effects and negative consequences of sanctions, have provided solutions to deal with them with a focus on the tourism industry.

Nowadays, technological world is changing so fast that one of various organizations challenge is about getting informed and responding appropriately to them. In order to manage this challenge, organizations need to scout technological changes. As a result, this paper tries to introduce a generic model including the process (steps) and structure (components and their relations). In this regard, by studying and synthesizing the existing models about technology scanning, intelligence, scouting and monitoring, we try to develop a generic model. For this purpose, meta-synthesis methodology adopted. In order to measure our model reliability, we use the triangulation technique, which its tree angles are: literature review, case study and questionnaires. In fact, as existing models are not comprehensive and discuss just about one or some aspects of the technology scouting, the main value added of this paper is about leveraging positive aspects and strength points of each model in order to introducing a relatively comprehensive framework which includes all the components, relations and steps to do a perfect technology scouting. According to our finding three main variables in technology scouting model are: environmental specifications, organizational characteristics and technology dimensions. In addition, we found that in structural model, there are two main types of technology scouting: scanning and targeting. Deciding about appropriate structure depends to the above-mentioned variables. Finally inspired by technology foresight, we divided technology scouting into three main part: pre scouting, main scouting and post scouting. Each part has its own characteristics and steps.

Horizon scanning, dramatically in recent years, has been used throughout in the world. Although there is not an accurate definition about it, but in general it is a systematic process used the best available information to select the best possible decisions. A systematic search for new trends, opportunities and constraints that effect on the path of objective sets. Explicit goals of horizon scanning are critical for innovative and developmental issues, knowledge, data stored, and decision making. Key technical solutions used in environmental scanning processes are web browsing, indexing, mapping knowledge, citation, lexical, coincidental, page rank algorithm, html analytical algorithm, data mining, Classification and clustering. During the writing of this research, efforts have been made to identify institutions and companies that are using or serving in the field of web-based environmental scanning, identification of their goals and solutions, as well as identifying and studying techniques and tools that they use. The result of this research should help the internal organization to use this new method to reach their goals.