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عضویت

جستجوی مقالات مرتبط با کلیدواژه « decision support techniques » در نشریات گروه « پزشکی »

  • Somayeh Karimi, Lorraine Martins Dutra e Oliva, Hosein Rafiemanesh, Melissa Mendez Capitaine, Sarah Jabre, Alireza Baratloo
    Introduction

    Just as failure to diagnose an acute ischemic stroke (AIS) in a timely manner affects the patient’s out-come; an inaccurate and misplaced impression of the AIS diagnosis is not without its drawbacks. Here, we introduce atwo-stage clinical tool to aid in the screening of AIS cases in need of imaging in the emergency department (ED).Meth-ods:This was a multicenter cross-sectional study, in which suspected AIS patients who underwent a brain magneticresonance imaging (MRI) were included. The 18 variables from nine existing AIS screening tools were extracted anda two-stage screening tool was developed based on expert opinion (stage-one or rule in stage) and multivariate logis-tic regression analysis (stage-two or rule out stage). Then, the screening performance characteristics of the two-stagemode was evaluated.

    Results

    Data from 803 patients with suspected AIS were analyzed. Among them, 57.4% were male,and their overall mean age was 66.9 ± 13.9 years. There were 561 (69.9%) cases with a final confirmed diagnosis of AIS.The total sensitivity and specificity of the two-stage screening model were 99.11% (95% CI: 98.33 to 99.89) and 35.95%(95% CI: 29.90 to 42.0), respectively. Also, the positive and negative predictive values of two-stage screening model were78.20% (95% CI: 75.17 to 81.24) and 94.57% (95% CI: 89.93 to 81.24), respectively. The area under the receiver operatingcharacteristic (ROC) curve of the two-stage screening model for AIS was 67.53% (95% CI: 64.48 to 70.58). Overall, usingthe two-stage screening model presented in this study, more than 11% of suspected AIS patients were not referred forMRI, and the error of this model is about 5%.

    Conclusion

    Here, we proposed a 2-step model for approaching suspectedAIS patients in ED for an attempt to safely exclude patients with the least probability of having an AIS as a diagnosis.However, further surveys are required to assess its accuracy and it may even need some modifications.

    Keywords: Decision support techniques, Emergency service, Hospital, Stroke, Diagnosis, Differential}
  • Alireza Baratloo, Mahtab Ramezani, Hosein Rafiemanesh, Meisam Sharifi, Somayeh Karimi *
    Background

    We believe that designing a new tool which is comparable in terms of both sensitivity and specificity may play an important role in rapid and more accurate diagnosis of acute ischemic stroke (AIS) in prehospital stage. Therefore, we intended to develop a new clinical tool for the diagnosis of AIS in the prehospital stage.

    Methods

    This was a cross-sectional diagnostic accuracy study. All patients transferred to the emergency department (ED) who underwent brain magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) with impression of AIS were evaluated by 9 clinical tools for stroke diagnosis in the pre-hospital phase including Rapid Arterial Occlusion Evaluation (RACE), Cincinnati Prehospital Stroke Scale (CPSS), Los Angeles Prehospital Stroke Screen (LAPSS), Melbourne Ambulance Stroke Screen (MASS), Medic Prehospital Assessment for Code Stroke (Med PACS), Ontario Prehospital Stroke Screening Tool (OPSS), PreHospital Ambulance Stroke Test (PreHAST), Recognition of Stroke in the Emergency Room (ROSIER), and Face Arm Speech Test (FAST), and totally 19 items were reviewed and recorded. The new clinical tool was developed based on backward method of multivariable logistic regression analysis. The discrimination power of the new clinical tool for diagnosis of AIS was assessed with the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC-ROC).

    Results

    Data from 806 patients were analyzed; of them, 57.4% were men. The mean age of the study patients was 66.9 years [standard deviation (SD) = 13.9]. In the multivariable model, 8 items remained. The AUC-ROC of the new clinical tool was 0.893 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.869-0.917], and its best cut-off point was score ≥ 3 for positive AIS. At this cut-off point, sensitivity and specificity were 84.42% and 79.72%, respectively.

    Conclusion

    We introduced a new nomogram-based clinical tool for the diagnosis of AIS in the prehospital stage, which has acceptable specificity and sensitivity; moreover, it is comparable with previous tools.

    Keywords: Decision Support Techniques, Emergency Medical Services, Magnetic Resonance Imaging, Nomograms, Stroke}
  • Nizal Sarrafzadegan, Fahimeh Bagherikholenjani, Fereidoun Noohi, Hassan Alikhasi, Noushin Mohammadifard, Samad Ghaffari, Seyed Mohammad Hassan Adel, Ahmad Reza Assareh, Mohammad Javad Zibaee Nezhad, Mahmood Tabandeh, Hossein Farshidi, Alireza Khosravi, Ebrahim Nematipour, Mohammad Kermani Alghoraishi, Razieh Hassannejad
    Background

    Determining cardiovascular disease (CVD) research priorities is essential given the high burden of these diseases, limited financial resources, and competing priorities. This study aimed to determine the research priorities in CVD field in Iran using standard indigenous methods.

    Materials and Methods

    An extensive search was done in relevant international and national studies. Then, an indigenous standard multistage approach based on multicriteria decision analysis steps was adapted to local situation and implemented. This process included forming a working group of experts in priority setting methodology, identifying the context and prioritization framework, discussing the methodology with the National Network of CVD Research  NCVDR) members who ultimately determined the priority research topics, weighted topics criteria, ranked topics, and reviewed all determined  esearch priorities for final report.

    Results

    Thirteen cardiovascular research priorities were determined by the NCVDR members. The first  ive priorities based on their scores include studies in hypertension, prevention and control of ischemic heart disease (IHD) and its risk  actors, burden of IHD, Registration of CVDs, and COVID?19 and CVDs.

    Conclusion

    Cardiovascular research priorities were determined using a standard indigenous approach by national experts who are the NCVDR members. These priorities can be used by researchers and health decision makers.

    Keywords: Analytic hierarchy process, cardiovascular diseases, decision support techniques, health priorities, low‑andmiddle‑income countries, multicriteria decision analysis}
  • Fereshteh Jamali, Sepideh Gholizadeh, Mahsa Kangari, Amir Ghaffarzad, Haniyeh Ebrahimi Bakhtavar, Farzad Rahmani
    Background and Objectives

    Head trauma is one of the most important causes of emergency department (ED) visits and the leading cause of disability and mortality in children. The aim of this study was to evaluate the Pediatric Emergency Care Applied Research Network (PECARN) rules to predict brain injuries in pediatrics with head trauma.

    Materials and Methods

    This descriptive–analytic study was performed on 250 pediatric patients with head trauma referred to Imam Reza Hospital in Tabriz City from August to September 2020. All patients were evaluated in the ED for the existing of any rules of the PECARN, then the results of the PECARN rules and brain computed tomography (CT) scan findings were compared in these patients. According to the PECARN rules, patients were classified into three categories, namely low, moderate, and high risk. For all three groups, if there is an indication of brain CT scan, it was performed and reported by an emergency medicine specialist.

    Results

    The mean age of the patients was 88 months. In this study, 162 (64.8%), 42 (16.8%), and 46 (18.4%) patients were in the low‑risk, moderate‑risk, and high‑risk groups, respectively. Death was occurred in 18 (12.8%) patients. Results showed a statistically significant association between positive CT findings and some variables, such as behavioral change, vomiting, severe headache, LOC over 5 s, confusion, palpable skull fracture, skull base fracture, and the severe mechanism of injury (P < 0.05). Furthermore, a statistically significant association was found between PECARN rules and CT findings (P < 0.001).

    Conclusions

    According to the results of the present study, PECARN rules have a significant association with brain CT scan findings. Therefore, using these rules is recommended to reduce the number of brain CT scan requests for pediatric patients.

    Keywords: Brain trauma, child, decision support techniques, emergency service, hospital, tomography, X‑ray computed tomography}
  • Seyed Mahdi Mousavi, Mahsa Jahadi Naeini, Farzad Behzadi Nezhad*
    Background & Aims of the Study

    Resilience means the ability of a system to predict, tolerate, and adapt to various disturbances and recover quickly to its original state. This study aims to weigh and prioritize the indicators affecting the resilience in a combined cycle power plant using the combined method of FAHP-TOPSIS.

    Materials and Methods

    This is a descriptive-analytical and cross-sectional study conducted at the beginning of 2021 in the Kashan Combined Cycle Power Plant. In the first step, a literature review and semi-structured interviews with 25 experts were conducted to identify the indicators affecting resilience. A total of 20 affecting indicators were identified and divided into three groups: situational awareness, vulnerability, and adaptability. In the next step, we used the Fuzzy Analytical Hierarchy Process (FAHP) to determine the indicators’ weights of each group. In the end, we used the TOPSIS method to perform the final prioritization of the indicators.

    Results

    The final results of prioritizing the indicators that affect resilience based on the outcomes of the TOPSIS method showed that the three indicators of structural stability (final weight=1), senior management awareness of the roles and responsibilities (final weight=0.075), and understanding and risk acceptance (final weight=0.067) play the most important roles, while logistics support index (final weight=0.029) is the least important indicator in determining the level of resilience.

    Conclusion

    By recognizing and prioritizing the indicators affecting the level of resilience, corrective and preventive measures can be defined and implemented to improve safety and increase the resilience in combined cycle power plants based on the importance of each indicator. Also, the method introduced in this paper can be used as a scientific technique to identify and prioritize resilience indicators in other process industries such as oil and gas and petrochemical industries.

    Keywords: Resilience, Analytic hierarchy process, Power plants, Decision support techniques}
  • Alireza Baratloo, Mobin Mohamadi, Mohammad Mohammadi, Amirmohammad Toloui, Arian Madani Neishaboori, Seyedeh Niloufar Rafiei Alavi, Ali Nahiyeh, Mahmoud Yousefifard *
    Objective

    Although various predictive instruments have been introduced for early stroke diagnosis, there is no consensus on their performance. Therefore, we decided to assess the value of predictive instruments in the detection of stroke by conducting an umbrella review. 

    Methods

    A search was performed in the Medline, Embase, Scopus and Web of Science databases by the end of August 2021 for systematic reviews and meta-analyses. Original articles included in the systematic reviews were retrieved, summarized and pooled sensitivity, specificity and diagnostic odds ratio were calculated. The level of evidence was divided into five groups: convincing (class I), highly suggestive (class II), suggestive (class III), weak (class IV) and non-significant. 

    Results

    The value of 33 predictive instruments was evaluated. The sample size included in these scoring systems’ assessments varied between 182 and 47072 patients. The level of evidence was class I in one tool, class II in 18 tools, class III in 2 tools, class IV in 11 tools, and non-significant in one tool. Apart from Med PACS, which had a low diagnostic value, other tools appeared to be able to detect a stroke. The optimum performance for diagnosis of stroke was for ROSIER, NIHSS, PASS, FAST, LAMS, RACE and CPSS. 

    Conclusion

    Convincing to suggestive evidence shows that ROSIER, NIHSS, PASS, FAST, LAMS, RACE and CPSS have the optimum performance in identifying stroke. Since ROSIER’s calculation is simple and has the highest sensitivity and specificity among those predictive instruments, it is recommended for stroke diagnosis in pre-hospital and in-hospital settings.

    Keywords: Decision Support Techniques, Diagnosis, Emergency Medical Service, Stroke}
  • Jinping gao, Zhong-qin Huang, Xue-ya Chen, Dong-zhi Li, Wang-feng Wu, Rong-rong Liu
    Background

    The participation of patients in treatment and nursing decision-making has been advocated by many medical staff. This is not only to attach importance to the wishes of patients, but also to the needs of social development. The purpose of this research was to investigate the attitudes of Chinese breast cancer medical staff towards the implementation of breast cancer decision-making aids.

    Methods

    A cross-sectional study was conducted among 420 doctors and nurses in the Department of Breast Surgery. We used a questionnaire designed by investigators. Data was collected from February 2021 to September 2021. IBM SPSS Version 22 was used to analyze the collected data.

    Results

    Overall, 420 valid questionnaires were returned from 220 doctors and 200 nurses. Response rate was 85.19%. The results showed that 77.14% of the medical staff supported the promotion of breast cancer decision-making aids, and 85.71%(360/420)agreed that patients should be the main participants in high-quality clinical decision-making. Also, 95.24%(400/420)believed that patients should know the reasons for making treatment decisions, and agreed that the positive effects of patient decision-making aids were positively correlated with high education (r education=0.317, P=0.001). There were statistically significant differences in the attitudes of medical staff with different working years (X2=9.432, P=0.024), educational background (X2=42.918, P<0.001) and shared decision education (X2=11.932, P=0.008) on whether to promote decision-making aids.

    Conclusion

    At this stage, breast medical staff have a positive attitude towards using breast cancer decision aids for joint decision-making.

    Keywords: Decision Support Techniques, Attitude Implementation, Decision-Making, Breast Cancer}
  • Razieh Zahedi, Leila Nemati Anaraki, Shahram Sedghi, Mamak Shariat
    Background & Aim

    Patient decision aids are detailed and personalized health education materials that assist patients in decision making. According to expert viewpoints, this study aimed to determine important factors in implementing the prenatal screening decision aid in Iran.

    Methods & Materials:

     In this qualitative study, 24 experts, including seven obstetricians, four information scientists, five managers or policymakers, and eight midwives, were selected using purposive and snowball sampling approaches. Semi-structured interviews were conducted to collect the data between January 2020 and June 2020 in Tehran, Iran. A prenatal screening decision aid was presented to the participants, and we asked them to raise their concerns and thoughts regarding the factors influencing the implementation of patient decision aids. We used MAXQDA 10 and applied conventional content analysis for data analysis.

    Results

    Two organizational and personal factors themes were identified to implement Iran's prenatal screening decision aids.

    Conclusion

    We identified the viewpoints of experts regarding major factors in patient decision aids implementation for prenatal screening. Before implementing prenatal screening decision aids in Iran, it would be helpful to consider these organizational and personal factors. Prenatal screening decision aids can provide better information for pregnant women and strengthen their decision-making ability.

    Keywords: decision making, decision support techniques, patient decision aid, prenatal diagnosis}
  • Peyman Saberian, Hosein Rafiemanesh, Farhad Heydari, Sahar Mirbaha, Somayeh Karimi, AlirezaBaratloo
    Background

    Stroke is one of the most common debilitating diseases. Although effective treatment is available, a golden time has been defined in this regard. Therefore, prompt action is needed to identify patients with stroke as soon as possible, even in the pre-hospital stage. In recent years, several clinical scales have been introduced for this purpose. We performed the present study to examine the accuracy of eight clinical scales in terms of stroke diagnosis.

    Methods

    This multicenter diagnostic accuracy study was conducted in 2019. All patients older than 18 years who were admitted to the emergency department (ED) and underwent brain magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) for a suspected stroke were eligible. All data were gathered through a pre-prepared checklist consisting of three sections, using the clinical records of the patients. The first section of the checklist included basic characteristics and demographic data. The second part included physical examination findings of 19 items related to the 8 scales. The third part was dedicated to the final diagnosis based on the interpretation of brain MRI, which was considered the gold standard for the diagnosis of acute ischemic stroke (AIS) in the current study.

    Results

    The data from 805 patients suspected of stroke were analyzed. In all, 463 patients (57.5%) were male. The participants’ age was 6-95 years with a mean age of 66.9 years (SD = 13.9). Of all the registered patients, 562 (69.8%) had an AIS. The accuracy of screening tests was 63.0% to 84.4%. The sensitivity and specificity were 71.9% to 95.7% and 46.5% to 82.8%, respectively. Among all the screening tests, Los Angeles Pre-Hospital Stroke Screening (LAPSS) had the lowest sensitivity, and Medic Prehospital Assessment for Code Stroke (Med PACS) had the highest sensitivity. In addition, PreHospital Ambulance Stroke Test (PreHAST) had the lowest specificity and LAPSS had the highest specificity.

    Conclusion

    Based on the findings of the present study, highly sensitive tests that can be used in this regard are Cincinnati Prehospital Stroke Scale (CPSS), Face-Arm-Speech-Time (FAST), and Med PACS, all of which have about 95% sensitivity. On the other hand, none of the studied tools were desirable (specificity above 95%) in any of the examined cut-offs

    Keywords: Decision support techniques, Early diagnosis, Emergency medical services, Stroke}
  • Somayeh Karimi, Farhad Heydari, Sahar Mirbaha, Mohamed Elfil, Alireza Baratloo *
    Background

    Andsberg et al. have recently introduced a novel scoring system entitled “PreHospital Ambulance Stroke Test (PreHAST)”, which helps to early identification of patients with acute ischemic stroke (AIS) even in prehospital setting. Its validity has not been assessed in a study yet, and the purpose of this study was to assess this scoring system on a larger scale to provide further evidence in this regard.

    Methods

    This was a cross-sectional multi-center accuracy study, in which, sampling was performed prospectively. All patients over 18 years of age admitted to the emergency department (ED) and suspected as AIS cases were included. All required data were recorded in a form consisting of 3 parts: baseline characteristics, neurological examination findings required for calculating PreHAST score, and the ultimate diagnosis made from interpretation of their brain magnetic resonance imaging (MRI).

    Results

    Data from 805 patients (57.5% men) with the mean age of 67.1 ± 13.6 years were analyzed. Of all the patients presenting with suspected AIS, 562 (69.8%) had AIS based on their MRI findings. At the suggested cut-off point (score ≥ 1), PreHAST had a specificity of 46.5% [95% confidence interval (CI): 40.1%-53.0%) and a sensitivity of 93.2% (95% CI: 90.8%-95.2%).

    Conclusion

    According to the findings of our study, at the suggested cut-off point (score ≥ 1), PreHAST had 93.2% sensitivity and 46.5% specificity in detection of patients with AIS, which were somewhat different from those reported in the original study, where 100% sensitivity and 40% specificity were reported for this scoring system.

    Keywords: Data Accuracy, Decision Support Techniques, Emergency Medical Services, Stroke}
  • Mahmoud Yousefifard, Kavous Shahsavarinia, Gholamreza Faridaalee, Hossein Dinpanah, Sajjad Ahmadi, Saeed Safari *
    Introduction

     Limitations of Glasgow coma scale (GCS) led the researchers to designing new physiologic scoring systems such as revised trauma score (RTS), rapid acute physiology score (RAPS) and rapid emergency medicine score (REMS), and worthing physiological scoring system (WPSS). However, it is not yet known whether these models have any advantage over GCS. 

    Objective

    The present study attempted to compare the values of 4 physiologic scoring systems including RTS, RAPS, REMS and WPSS with GCS in predicting in-hospital mortality of trauma patients. 

    Methods

    The present diagnostic accuracy study was performed on trauma patients presenting to emergency departments of 4 hospitals in Iran throughout 2017. Patients were clinically evaluated and were followed until discharge from hospital. Finally, the status of patients regarding mortality and poor outcome (death, vegetative status, severe disability, and moderate disability) was recorded and predictive value of GCS was compared with physiologic scales. 

    Results

    Area under the ROC curve of GCS in prediction of in-hospital mortality was not significantly different from that of REMS (0.89 vs. 0.91; p=0.298), RAPS (0.89 vs. 0.88; p=0.657), and WPSS (0.89 vs 0.91; p=0.168) but was significantly more than RTS (0.89 vs. 0.85; p=0.002). In addition, area under the ROC curves of GCS, REMS, RAPS, WPSS and RTS in prediction of poor outcome were 0.89, 0.88, 0.88, 0.91, and 0.81, respectively. Area under the ROC curve of GCS in prediction of poor outcome did not differ from area under the ROC curves of REMS (0.89 vs. 0.88; p=0.887), RAPS (0.89 vs. 0.88; p=0.601) and WPSS (0.89 vs. 0.91; p=0.113) but was significantly higher than RTS (0.89 vs. 0.81; p<0.0001). 

    Conclusions

    Findings of the present study indicated that GCS is still the best method for evaluating injury severity and trauma patients’ outcome in the emergency department; because it is easier to calculate and assess than many physiologic scales and it has a better performance in predicting in-hospital mortality and poor outcome compared to RTS.

    Keywords: Decision Support Techniques, Glasgow Coma Scale, Multiple Trauma, Patient Outcome Assessment}
  • علی اصغر صفایی*، سید سعید صفایی
    هدف

    تجویز داروهای مناسب برای بیماران از اساسی ترین پروسه های درمان آن ها است و نیازمند تصمیم گیری دقیق بر اساس شرایط فعلی بیمار و سوابق و علائم وی می باشد. در بسیاری از موارد ممکن است بیماران بیش از یک دارو نیاز داشته یا علاوه بر داشتن بیماری قبلی و دریافت داروی آن، برای بیماری جدید نیاز به داروهای جدید داشته باشند که چنین شرایطی امکان ایجاد خطای پزشکی در تجویز دارو و بروز اثرات سوء مصرف دارویی(ADE)  (مانند تداخلات دارویی) را برای بیمار افزایش می دهد.

    مواد و روش ها

    در این مقاله مدل سازی سامانه ی توصیه گر معنایی تجویز پزشک و کشف تداخلات داروئی ارائه شده است. پیش تر نیازمندی های سامانه استخراج و به تفصیل شرح داده شده و در این مقاله، بر اساس نیازمندی های استخراج شده به مدل سازی سامانه با استفاده از زبان یک پارچه مدل سازی UML2.0 پرداخته شده است. جهت ارزیابی کارکردهای توصیه و کشف ADEها (تداخلات) اقدام به توسعه نمونه آزمایشگاهی با استفاده از زبان Java شد و هم چنین مجموعه ای از قواعد جهت استدلال و کشف تداخلات و ADEها گردآوری شد.

    یافته ها

     نتایج ارزیابی عملکرد سامانه برای کارکردهای کشف اثرات سوء مصرف داروها و توصیه داروئی نشان دهنده ی بهبود عملکرد رویکرد پیشنهادی به میزان 25/9 و 3/11 درصد در معیار دقت، 29 و 6/60 درصد در معیار فراخوانی (به ترتیب رویکردهای کشف اثرات سوء و توصیه داروئی) می باشد.

    نتیجه گیری

     استفاده از این سامانه به عنوان یک مدخل ورود الکترونیکی دستورات پزشک می تواند علاوه بر کمک به پزشکان جهت تجویز دقیق تر نسخه، مخاطرات موجود علیه سلامتی بیماران که ناشی از خطاهای پزشکی در مرحله تجویز دارو است را کاهش دهد.

    کلید واژگان: سیستم توصیه گر معنایی, اثرات سوء مصرف داروها, تداخلات دارویی, زبان یک پارچه مدل سازی, مدخل ورود کامپیوتری دستورات پزشک}
    Ali Asghar Safaei*, Sayyed Saeid Safaei
    Introduction

    The administration of appropriate drugs to patients is one of the most important processes of treatment and requires careful decision-making based-on the current conditions of the patient and its history and symptoms. In many cases, patients may require more than one drug, or in addition to having a previous illness and receiving the drug, they need new drugs for the new illness, which may increase medical errors in the administration of the drug and the adverse drug events(ADE) such as drug interactions for the patient.

    Materials and Methods

    In this article, the stages of designing and describing the requirements and the modeling of the ontology-based semantic recommender system of the prescribing physician and the discovery of the ADEs were presented. First, the requirements of the system were extracted and described in detail and then, based on the extracted requirements, the modeling of the system using the Unified Modeling Language of UML2.0 was discussed. Then, according to the extracted requirements for the discovery of ADEs, a proper ontology was designed for the system and implemented by Protégé software. In order to evaluate the functions of recommendation and discovering ADEs (interactions), a prototype was developed using Java language, and a collection of rules for reasoning and discovering interactions and ADEs were gathered.

    Results

    The results of the system performance evaluation for the functions of detecting ADEs and medication recommendation suggests improvement of the proposed approach to 9.25% and 11.3% in the precision criterion, 29% and 60.6% in the recall, and 26% (respectively, approaches to the detection of ADEs and drug recommendations).

    Conclusion

    The use of this system as a computerized physician ordering entry can, in addition to helping physicians to prescribe a more accurate prescription, reduce the risks to the health of patients resulting from medical errors in the prescribing phase.

    Keywords: Drug Prescriptions, Drug Interactions, Decision Support Techniques, Drug-Related Side Effects, Adverse Reactions, Medical Order Entry Systems}
  • Hamid Kariman, Hamidreza Hatamabadi, Majid Shojaee, Farhad Asarzadegan, Simin Saljughi*
    Introduction

    Predicting the outcome of patientswith intracranial hemorrhage (ICH) is the area of interest for in charge physicians aswell as patients and their associates. This study aimed to evaluate the accuracy of SUSPEKT score in predicting one-month outcome of patients with hemorrhagic stroke.

    Methods

    This prospective cross sectional study was conducted on > 18 years old patients with non-traumatic supra-tentorial ICH admitted to emergency department, from February 2017 to January 2018. SUSPEKT score was measured for each patient and its screening performance characteristics in prediction of one-month mortality were calculated.

    Results

    169 cases with the mean age of 63.09 § 15.45 (21 – 96) years were studied (56.8% male). After one month follow up 47 (27.8%) cases had died, 30 (17.7%) cases were bed ridden, and 72 (42.6%) could walk without help or with a cane. Non-survived patients had significantly larger intra-ventricular hemorrhage (IVH) (p < 0.001) and hematoma (p < 0.001) volume, higher serumglucose (p < 0.001) and blood pressure (p = 0.028), higher frequency of IVH (p < 0.001), and higher WBC count (p = 0.037). Sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), and negative predictive value (NPV) of SUSPEKT score at the 65 cut point were 82.97% (95% CI: 68.65% – 91.86%), 74.59% (95% CI: 65.76% – 81.84%), 55.71% (95% CI: 43.38% – 67.40%), and 91.91% (95% CI: 84.23% – 96.16%), respectively.

    Conclusion

    Total accuracy of SUSPEKT score in predicting one-month mortality of non- traumatic ICH patients is in good range and it has 82%sensitivity and 92%NPV in this regard. It seems thatwe need further studies before applying the score in routine practice.

    Keywords: Intracranial hemorrhages, stroke, decision support techniques, prognosis, patient outcome assessment, mortality}
  • Ehsan Bolvardi, Behnaz Alizadeh, Mahdi Foroughian, Bita Abbasi, Seyed Reza Habibzadeh, Reza Akhavan*
    Introduction
    The Quebec Decision Rule (QDR) has been developed for deciding on the necessity of radiography for patients with shoulder dislocation. This study aimed to investigate the diagnostic value of QDR in this regard.
    Method
    This diagnostic accuracy study was conducted on patients with shoulder dislocation visiting the emergency department. After filling out the QDR-based checklist for all patients, they underwent radiography and the obtained radiography results were compared to QDR-based clinical diagnostic findings.
    Results
    143 patients with the mean age of 32.1±12 years were evaluated (88.8% males). Sensitivity, specificity, and positive and negative predictive values of QDR were 50%, 58.2%, 3.3%, and 97.6%, respectively. The sensitivity and specificity were 100% and 50% in patients >40 years old, and 33.3% and 59.8% in those <40 years old. These indices were 33.3% and 60.4%, respectively, in the male sex and 100% and 40% in the female sex.
    Conclusion
    Quebec decision rule holds promise to diagnose concomitant fractures in patients over the age of 40 with 100% sensitivity, thereby reducing the number of radiographies by 50% without causing diagnostic errors. In contrast, this criterion proved inefficient in patients younger than 40.
    Keywords: Quebec, shoulder dislocation, decision support techniques, diagnostic imaging, radiography}
  • Seyyed Mahdi Zia Ziabari *, Siamak Rimaz, Afshin Shafaghi, Maryam Shakiba, Zahra Pourkazemi, Elnaz Karimzadeh, Melika Amoukhteh
    Introduction
    Finding easily accessible and non-invasive methods for differentiating various sources of gastrointestinal (GI) bleeding before performing endoscopy and colonoscopy is of great interest. The present study was designed with the aim of evaluating the screening performance characteristics of blood urea nitrogen (BUN) to Creatinine (Cr) ratio in this regard.
    Methods
    The present diagnostic accuracy study was performed on patients with acute GI bleeding presenting to emergency department from 2011 to 2016, in a retrospective manner. BUN/Cr ratio was calculated for all patients and its accuracy in differentiation of upper and lower GI bleedings, confirmed via endoscopy or colonoscopy, was evaluated.
    Results
    A total of 621 patients with the mean age of 59.49±17.94 (5 – 93) years were studied (60.5% male). Area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve of BUN/Cr ratio for predicting the source of GI bleeding was 0.63 (95% CI: 0.57 – 0.68). Sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive values, and positive and negative likelihood ratios of BUN/Cr ratio at 35 cut-off point were 19.63% (95%CI: 16.69 – 23.45), 90.16% (95%CI: 83.11 – 94.88), 89.09 (95%CI: 81.35 – 93.98), 21.53 (95%CI: 18.09 – 25.39), 8.16 (95%CI:4.76 – 13.98), and 3.65 (95%CI: 3.44 – 3.87), respectively.
    Conclusion
    Considering the relatively proper specificity and positive predictive value of BUN/Cr ratio, in cases that bleeding source cannot be determined using other non-invasive methods, values higher than 35 can predict upper GI bleeding with high probability. However, due to the low sensitivity, values less than 35 are not diagnostic.
    Keywords: Gastrointestinal hemorrhage, blood urea nitrogen, creatinine, clinical decision-making, decision support techniques}
  • Alireza Baratloo, Mohammad, Taghi Talebian, Sahar Mirbaha, Shahram Bagheri, Hariri *
    Context: The current review article considered the latest published papers on reducing unnecessary head Computed Tomography (CT) scans in pediatric patients, to pave the way for further surveys. Evidence Acquisition: The papers were selected through Google Scholar and PubMed. We searched “reducing unnecessary head CT scan in pediatric patients” with related keywords compatible with MeSH system in accordance with the search strategy. Original articles and systematic reviews published after 2010 were included. Other types of manuscripts such as a letter to editor, editorial reviews, case series, etc. were excluded. The title and abstract of the eligible articles were assessed in terms of relevance to our topic. The full text of final selected papers were studied by the investigators. Furthermore, a critical appraisal was performed in an expert panel to summarize it and make it applicable.
    Results
    The extracted manuscripts have addressed this issue by various strategies. The findings could be categorized as follows: observation period, focused history taking, protocol and guideline development, implementation of validated clinical prediction rules, and blood-based decision making by assessing neuro-biomarker levels.
    Conclusions
    Most of the reviewed articles were focused on clinical findings to discover the minimum or low risk category of the pediatric patients with blunt head trauma. Other articles attempted on facilitating the use of available clinical prediction rules in this regard. Also, the measurement of serum biomarker levels has been considered; however, their widely application in practice is not well supported by evidence yet.
    Keywords: Decision support techniques, Closed head injuries, Pediatrics, X-ray computed tomography, Unnecessary procedures}
  • Fatemeh Ramezani, Sajjad Ahmadi, Gholamreza Faridaalaee, Alireza Baratloo, Mahmoud Yousefifard*
    Introduction

    There is still no consensus on the value of Manchester Acute Coronary Syndromes (MACS) deci-sion rule in detecting acute coronary syndrome (ACS). Therefore, the purpose of the present systematic reviewand meta-analyzes is to summarize the clinical evidence in the evaluation of the value of MACS in the diagno-sis of ACS.

    Methods

    A literature search was performed on the Medline, Embase, Scopus, and Web of Sciencedatabases. Outcomes included acute myocardial infarction (AMI) and major adverse cardiac event (MACE).Data were analyzed in the STATA 14.0 statistical program and the results were reported as summary receiver op-erating characteristics (SROC), sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative likelihood ratio, and diagnostic oddsratio with 95% confidence interval (95% CI).

    Results

    Finally, 8 articles included in the meta-analysis. The areaunder the SROC of MACS was excellent in rule out of AMI (AUC = 0.99, 95% CI: 0.97 to 0.99) and MACE (AUC= 0.97, 95% CI: 0.95 to 0.98). The sensitivity and specificity of the troponin-only MACS / history electrocardio-gram alone MACS (HE-MACS) in the rule out of AMI were 0.99 (95% CI: 0.98-0.99) and 0.22 (95% CI: 0.11-0.37),respectively, and for the original MACS were in order 0.99 (95% CI: 0.98-0.99) and 0.26 (95% CI: 0.20-0.34). Thesensitivity and specificity of the troponin-only MACS / HE-MACS in the rule out of MACE were 0.94 (95% CI:0.92-0.96) and 0.22 (95% CI: 0.12-0.39) compared to the 0.99 (95% CI: 0.98-0.99) and 0.27 (95% CI: 0.22-0.33) forthe original MACS.

    Conclusion

    The findings of this study showed that original MACS, troponin-only MACS, andHE-MACS are able to rule out AMI and MACE. However, further studies are needed in developing countries toconfirm its external validity.

    Keywords: Acute Coronary Syndrome, Decision Support Techniques, Diagnosis}
  • Ali Shahrami, Saba Ahmadi *, Saeed Safari
    Introduction
    Screening of high risk patients and accelerating their treatment measures can reduce the burden of the disease caused by acute upper gastrointestinal (GI) bleeding. This study aimed to compare the full and modified Glasgow-Blatchford Bleeding Score (GBS and mGBS) in prediction of in-hospital outcomes of upper GI bleeding.
    Methods
    In the present retrospective cross-sectional study, the accuracy of GBS and mGBS models were compared in predicting the outcome of patients over 18 years of age with acute upper GI bleeding confirmed via endoscopy, presenting to the emergency departments of 3 teaching hospitals during 4 years.
    Results
    330 cases with the mean age of 59.07 ± 19.00 years entered the study (63.60% male). Area under the curve of GBS and mGBS scoring systems were 0.691 and 0.703, respectively, in prediction of re-bleeding (p = 0.219), 0.562 and 0.563 regarding need for surgery (p = 0.978), 0.549 and 0.542 for endoscopic intervention (p = 0.505), and 0.767 and 0.770 regarding blood transfusion (p = 0.753). Area under the ROC curve of GBS scoring system regarding need for hospitalization in intensive care unit (0.589 vs. 0.563; p = 0.035) and mortality (0.597 vs. 0.564; p = 0.011) was better but the superiority was not clinically significant.
    Conclusion
    GBS and mGBS scoring systems have similar accuracy in prediction of the probability of re-bleeding, need for blood transfusion, surgery and endoscopic intervention, hospitalization in intensive care unit, and mortality of patients with acute upper GI bleeding.
    Keywords: Gastrointestinal hemorrhage, decision support techniques, outcome assessment (Health Care), hospital mortality}
  • آنیتا سبزه قبایی، مجید شجاعی، ابوالفضل حسین زاده *
    : علی رغم اینکه بعضی پزشکان اصرار به انجام گرافی گردن برای تمام بیماران ترومایی دارند، برخی دیگر انجام آن را برای بیماران علامت دار توصیه می کنند. لذا مطالعه حاضر با هدف ارزیابی ویژگی های غربالگری گرافی ساده گردن در تعیین ضایعات تروماتیک گردن طراحی شده است.
    این مطالعه دقت تشخیصی بر روی مصدومان مراجعه کننده به واحد ترومای بخش اورژانس بیمارستان های وابسته به دانشگاه علوم پزشکی شهید بهشتی (امام حسین و شهدای تجریش) ، تهران، ایران طی فروردین تا اسفند سال 1394 انجام شد. نتایج: مجموعا 180 بیمار با میانگین سنی 32/11 ± 30/32 (68-16) سال مورد بررسی قرار گرفتند (7/76 درصد مرد). بیشتر بیماران (3/73 درصد) در رده سنی 16 تا 40 سال بودند و شایعترین مکانیسم آسیب تصادف با وسایل نقلیه موتوری (3/83 درصد) بود. شکستگی مهره هفتم گردنی شایعترین شکستگی مشاهده شده در گرافی (2/7 درصد) و سی تی اسکن گردن (2/17 درصد) بود. بر اساس یافته های گرافی و سی تی اسکن گردن به ترتیب 54 (0/30 درصد) و 139 (2/77 درصد) بیمار دارای حداقل یک یافته پاتولوژیک (شکستگی یا دررفتگی) در ستون فقرات گردنی بودند. سطح زیر منحنی راک، حساسیت، ویژگی، ارزش اخباری مثبت و منفی و درستنمایی مثبت و منفی گرافی ساده در تشخیص ضایعات تروماتیک گردن به ترتیب و با حاشیه اطمینان 95 درصد معادل (664/0 – 472/0) 568/0، (64/41-48/25) 09/33، (90/62-63/64) 48/80، (62/94-32/72) 18/85، (91/34-95/18) 16/26، (00/11-00/3) 75/5 و (26/3-43/2) 81/2 بود.
    کلید واژگان: آسیب های گردن, ترومای متعدد, سی تی اسکن, گرافی ساده, روش های تصمیم گیری بالینی}
    Anita Sabzeghabaei, Majid Shojaei, Abolfazl Hosseinzadeh *
    Introduction
    Although some physicians insist on performing plain radiography for all trauma patients, some others recommend performing it for symptomatic ones. Therefore, the present study has been designed with the aim of evaluating the screening performance characteristics of plain radiography in identifying traumatic neck injuries.
    Methods
    The present diagnostic accuracy study was performed on injured patients presenting to the trauma unit of emergency departments of hospitals affiliated with Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences (Imam Hossein and Shohadaye Tajrish), Tehran, Iran, during March 2015 to March 2016.
    Results
    180 patients with the mean age of 32.30 ± 11.32 (16-68) years were evaluated (76.7% male). Most patients (73.3%) were in the 16-40 years age range and the most common mechanism of injury was motor vehicle collision (83.3%). Fracture of the 7th cervical vertebrae was the most prevalent fracture seen in radiography (7.2%) and computed tomography (CT) scan (17.2%). Based on the findings of cervical radiography and CT scan, respectively, 54 (30.0%) and 139 (77.2%) of the patients had at least 1 pathological finding (fracture or dislocation) in their cervical spine. Area under the ROC curve, sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive value, and positive and negative likelihood ratio of plain radiography in detection of traumatic cervical injuries and with 95% confidence interval were 0.568 (0.472-0.664), 33.09 (25.48-41.64), 80.48 (64.63-62.90), 85.18 (72.32-94.62), 26.16 (18.95-34.91), 5.75 (3.00-11.00) and 2.81 (2.43-3.26), respectively.
    Conclusion
    Accuracy of plain radiography in detection of traumatic cervical injuries is very low. This is due to the very low sensitivity of plain cervical radiography in detection of fractures and dislocations of the cervical spine. Therefore, it seems that plain radiography cannot be considered as a proper tool for ruling out cervical spine injuries following head and neck trauma.
    Keywords: Neck Injuries, multiple trauma, Tomography, X-ray Computed, X-ray Film, Decision Support Techniques}
  • مدل سازی ریاضی تخصیص تخت در یک بیمارستان نظامی
    محمدکریم بهادری*، احسان تیمورزاده، رضا کاظمی
    زمینه و هدف
    امروزه ارائه خدمات با کیفیت و کاهش هزینه ها، صنعت بهداشت و درمان را در سرتاسر جهان تبدیل به یک فضای پر چالش برای مدیران کرده است. یکی از راه های دستیابی به اهداف مذکور با توجه به اهمیت بهره وری و کارایی سیستم ها، بهینه سازی تعداد تجهیزات می باشد. پژوهش حاضر با هدف بهینه سازی تعداد تخت بخش های مختلف یک بیمارستان نظامی توسعه یافته است.
    روش ها
    این پژوهش یک مطالعه پژوهش عملیاتی و مدلسازی ریاضی می باشد. ابتدا مدلی با فرض عدم امکان جابجایی تخت ها میان بخش ها طراحی شده است و سپس در گام بعدی با حذف این فرض مدلی دیگر توسعه داده شده است. جهت ارزیابی مدل ها از داده های یک بیمارستان نظامی بهره گرفته شده است و نهایتا مدل ها در نرم افزار بهینه سازی 24.5.6.GAMS کدنویسی و حل شده است.
    یافته ها
    نتایج اجرای مدل های اول و دوم مدل 1 و مدل 2 به ترتیب 3.729.845.000 و 3.529.845.000 ریال هزینه در سال را برای بیمارستان نظامی مورد مطالعه به همراه دارد در حالیکه این رقم برای وضعیت فعلی برابر با 4.084.080.000 ریال می باشد. تعداد تخت های فعال در سیستم در هر یک از روش های موجود جهت برنامه ریزی ظرفیت بیمارستان نظامی که برگرفته از وضعیت فعلی، مدل 1 و مدل 2 می باشند به ترتیب برابر با 65، 43 و 43 تخت می باشد.
    نتیجه گیری
    تعداد تخت های فعلی بیمارستان نظامی مورد مطالعه که برابر با 63 تخت می باشد فاصله نسبتا زیادی از تعداد بهینه تخت یعنی عدد 43 که خروجی مدل های 1 و2 می باشند، دارد. این تفاوت معنادار در تعداد تخت به علت بالاتر بودن ظرفیت بیمارستان از حالت بهینه می باشد که هزینه هایی همچون هزینه نگهداری بیشتری را به سیستم تحمیل می کند. اگر بیمارستان نظامی از روش های دوم و سوم که به ترتیب خروجی های مدل های ریاضی 1 و 2 می باشند استفاده کند می تواند کاهش هزینه ای به ترتیب برابر با 354،235 و 554،235 هزار ریال در سال را برای سیستم به همراه داشته باشد.
    کلید واژگان: تحقیق در عملیات, خدمات بهداشت و درمان, تکنیک های پشتیبان تصمیم گیری}
    Mathematical Modeling for Bed Allocation in a Military Hospital
    Mohamadkarim Bahadori *, Ehsan Teymourzadeh, Reza Kazemi
    Background And Aim
    Nowadays, providing the high quality service and reducing costs, have converted health care industry into a challenging environment for the managers. One of the ways to achieve these goals given the importance of productivity and systems’ efficiency, is to optimize the number of facilities. In this regard, the present study aimed at optimizing the bed number of different wards of a military hospital.
    Methods
    This research is a study which utilizes the operations research and mathematical modeling techniques. In This matter firstly, a model assuming no interaction between various wards has been designed and then in the next step another model has been developed without this assumption. To evaluate the models the real life data of a military hospital has been used and ultimately the developed model has been coded and solved in GAMS.24.5.6 software.
    Results
    The results of implementation of first and second models showed that annual costs of the hospital is equal to372,984,500,0 and 352,984,500,0 Rials respectively, whereas the value for the current situation is 408,408,000,0 Rials per year. Based on importance of reducing costs models have shown the proper efficiency.
    Conclusion
    In general, using mathematical programming for capacity planning has shown high performance capability at any previous studies. It is recommended to apply the models for specialized and general hospitals to allocate the beds into their wards optimally.
    Keywords: Operations Research, Delivery of Healthcare, Decision Support Techniques}
نکته
  • نتایج بر اساس تاریخ انتشار مرتب شده‌اند.
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