The police prevention pattern from crisis

The main objective of this study is presenting disciplinary pattern for prevention from crisis through answering two following questions: 1- crisis prevention with disciplinary approach includes which elements? 2- what is the effectiveness of each one of these elements on the crisis prevention process? After studying the literature of this topic based on Rosenthal Theory (2004) concerning that crisis prevention is in accordance with inventive and contingency methods and approaches and using modeling technique will provide more complex perception of dynamisms related to the extension of crisis. The sampling group has been consisted of 25 officers and commanders of police force who were expert in crisis affairs, were selected and their opinions have been compiled via Delphi method and the data were analyzed by principles of fuzzy logics in group decision making in order to reveal the relationships between variables.According to the answers of questions, this research introduces and specifies preexploration, prediction and preparation as three main elements in disciplinary prevention process. The effectiveness of pre-exploration is more than two other elements. For each one of the elements, dimensions were determined in order to present applied strategies through their combination and composition for optimum use of research model.