Survival analysis and economic resilience of Iranian’s banking industry in frame work of economic resilience policies

According to the first clause of article 110 of Iranian constitution, the supreme leader of Iranian revelation imparted the resilience economic policies in 2014. These policies are complementing the policies of privatization or article 44 of constitution to achieve economic goals. The main goal of this instruction is creating stability in economy. Therefore, in this research we have measured stability of banking system as a main part of economy against macroeconomic shocks. While the resilience economic policies extend the article44, we have divided banks in to two part: public banks and private banks. Then we have used survival analysis and Cox proportional hazard models to measure resilience and bankruptcy threshold of Iranian banks. Results represent that uncertainties of inflation and interest rate have more effect of resilience of banking system. Also results show that the resilience of public banks are two years less than private banks and the resilience and survival time of Iranian banking system is about 5years. Also, the positive coefficient of uncertainty of the GDP growth rate shows that there is a reciprocal relationship between the usury free banking system and the real sector of the economy. Therefore, usury free banking in Iran, due to the lack of attention of the policymaker and the supervisor of the manufacturing sector in providing the banking facility, has failed to its main advantage is to establish a close relationship with the real sector of the economy.