Explaining the Indicators affecting Policy-making for Rural Management(Case Study: Kerman Province)

The existence of numerous challenges and problems in rural areas has forced geographers to do their research to solve these challenges. It can be said that one of the effective pillars in achieving rural development is the way decisions and policies are made. Futures studies are used to write about the future and possible changes in national, regional, and organizational contexts to respond to change. This study sought to explain the effective indicators in policy-making for rural regions management of Kerman province to help make more accurate decisions for the future of villages and policy-making appropriate to these indicators. In this regard, the main question was: What are the most effective indicators in policy-making for the management of rural areas of Kerman province in the future? The research method in this study was descriptive-analytical. The study followed a systematic and structural view with the method of futures studies and the use of MICMAC software. The results showed that the current policy-making system for the management of rural areas in Kerman province cannot be considered stable and desirable. The most influential indicators in policy-making for the management of rural areas of Kerman province were the environment (score 986), rurality (score 918), economy (score 884), and culture of rural people (score 850). Also, the indicators of the environment (score 952), economy (score 952), the sustainability of policies (score 884) were the most dependent factors. For better policy-making and optimal management of rural areas of the province in the future, strategic variables should be considered including environmental variables as an effective factor and the resulting form of policies, rurality or environmental-social identity, the economic identity of the village, the impact, and economic goals of policies, respectively. It is also possible to develop and sustain the rural management system of the province by manipulating and improving the variables of the economy, the role of the government, and increasing the participation of the people.