Landslides Hazard Zonation Using Logistic Regression Method(Case Study: Safaroud Watershed)

Identification of regions having potential for landslides occurrence, is one of thebasic measures in natural resources management. In this Study, in order to preparinglandslides hazard zonation map in Safaroud watershed, by using geographicinformation system software (ArcGIS9.3), topographic maps (1:25000), fieldobservations and interpretation of aerial photo, basic maps such as geographical map,hypsometry, slope Degree, slope aspect, the average annual rainfall, maximum 24-hour rainfall with return period 100 years, the maximum earthquake acceleration andthe distance of roads, rivers and faults, is produced. Then using Logistic RegressionMethod, landslides hazard zonation map of this watershed is prepared. The resultsshowed that 52.28 percent area of Safaroud watershed have had high and very highclasses of hazard, and theses areas are located on formations content layer of silt stone,sheyl, sandstone, conglomera and coal, on Slope from 15 to 35 degrees, close to roads,rivers and faults and in the average heights (1000 to 1500 meters asl.) that have largeamount of rainfall (more than 850 mm).