Presenting a model for increasing the Environmental Resilience of Kanarak city against Floods Caused by Tropical Storms with an emphasis on Futures Studies

Today, the Resilience of Cities against Natural Hazards has become one of the important topics in Urban Management. On the other hand, paying attention to this issue from the point of view of future research has made it easier to plan to improve the future situation, therefore, The main goal of the present study Providing a model for increasing the resilience of the city of Konark against the Risks caused by Tropical Storms and It is with the approach Futures Studies. The Current Research is applied in terms of its purpose and Exploratory in its Nature, Two Documentaries and Field method have been used to collect data and information. The Statistical Population of this research included Relevant Experts and elites, who according to the objectives of the research and to achieve the desired model with a Future research approach through interviews with elites and experts and using a non-random purposeful sampling method (in a predetermined manner) done), and finally the Number of 15 People was obtained. In order to identify the key Driving Force, Structural analysis method (interaction effects) in the form of MICMAC Software was also used for Scenario writing using Scenario Wizard Software. The findings of the research showed that the Driving Force of "Surface Water Collection Channel" will have the most influence through their alternative futures (probable state) on other Driving Force in Determining the futures, and the Driving Force of "Changing the Structure of Organizations" Based on the Relationship of Alternative Futures, it has received the most influence from other alternative Futures. Also, the Driving Force of Flood Zoning Map, "Early Warning System of Natural Hazards and (GIS) and It has been Alternative futures of .that part Intermittent propellants